Salernitana vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Salernitana vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Salernitana played against Bari 1908 in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Venue: Stadio Arechi. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Salernitana has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bari 1908 has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Salernitana scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.29. Bari 1908 scores 1.43 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 86% of Salernitana's games and 14% of Bari 1908's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Salernitana has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.25 per game. Salernitana takes 14.7 shots per game, while Bari 1908 takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Salernitana leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Bari 1908 leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Salernitana's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Bari 1908, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group C games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bari 1908 are the favorites, although the visitors’ edge is not substantial: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 1 goal, while Salernitana have recorded 2 wins and conceded 6 goals. Bari have won 67% of their away matches, compared with Salernitana’s 50% win rate at home, which further favors the visitors. However, the hosts have attacking strengths: at home, they average 1.75 goals and create chances worth 1.87 xG, compared with Bari’s away averages of 1.67 goals and 1.19 xG. Salernitana also average 5.5 shots on target per home match, while Bari average 3.67 away, so the outcome remains uncertain. The slight lean towards the visitors is based on their recent results and away conversion rate of 19%, compared with the hosts’ 12% at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Salernitana’s home defense: they have not conceded a goal at home, and their BTTS rate so far is 0%. Bari have also defended well recently, conceding just 1 goal in five matches—an average of 0.2 per game—with both teams scoring in only 20% of those matches. The risk to this pick is Salernitana’s attacking form: they have averaged 1.6 goals across their last five games, and their recent xG was 1.93. The visitors average 1.67 goals away from home, but given the hosts’ home clean sheets, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: all of Salernitana’s home matches and Bari’s away matches to date have finished below this line. Salernitana have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home games, although their average of 1.73 xG conceded suggests we should not assume another shutout. Bari score an average of 1.67 goals away from home, but have conceded just 0.2 goals per game across their last 5 matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. On the other hand, the hosts have averaged 1.93 xG over their last 5 matches, so the projected total of 2.45 goals supports Under 3.5 rather than the riskier Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Salernitana were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Bari went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 games, making a tight first half the most likely scenario. The hosts could have a clearer edge after the interval: they won the second half in 3 of their 4 home matches and averaged 1.0 goal in that period, while Bari conceded an average of 1.0 goal after the break away from home. Salernitana have won 75% of their home matches without conceding, strengthening the case for a home win at full-time. The risk remains significant, as Bari have won 4 of their last 5 games and led at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches. However, the combination of Salernitana’s frequent half-time draws and strong second-half performances supports the X/1 HT/FT pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Salernitana | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bari 1908 is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Salernitana · 2.6 pts / game - Bari 1908
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bari 1908 is 126% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Salernitana · 0.57 goals / game - Bari 1908
Salernitana scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 games).
Bari 1908 scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Salernitana
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bari 1908 is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Salernitana · 1.71 pts / game - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Salernitana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Salernitana
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Salernitana | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.71 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 52% | ▼ 14% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
The Serie C Group C match finished Salernitana 2:1 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
Salernitana score 1.43 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 1.43. The Serie C Group C average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Salernitana's matches and 14% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Salernitana and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Salernitana have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bari 1908 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Salernitana vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


