Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi: match statistics
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samgurali play Dinamo Tbilisi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Samgurali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dinamo Tbilisi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samgurali scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Dinamo Tbilisi scores 1.63 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samgurali 63%, Dinamo Tbilisi 63%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 58%, Dinamo Tbilisi 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Tbilisi has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.45. Samgurali: 11.2 shots per match, Dinamo Tbilisi: 15.2.
Match halves
Samgurali: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84. Dinamo Tbilisi: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Samgurali: 76-90+ (9 goals). Dinamo Tbilisi: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-2-2. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I predict a draw because both teams have low scoring in their last five matches (0.6 pts per match each) and a high probability of few goals. Dinamo concedes only 0.33 goals per away match on average, records 67% clean sheets and 67% draws away, indicating a very stable away defense. Samgurali scores 1.0 goal per home match on average and posts xG 1.23, but conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match) and has no clean sheets, which signals serious defensive issues. Dinamo creates more chances (away xG 1.66 and 14 shots per match versus Samgurali’s 7.33 home shots), yet has poor finishing (0.67 goals per match and 5% conversion), so they most often finish matches in a draw or low-scoring result. Therefore I assess a draw as the most likely outcome (55%), home win 20% and away win 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samgurali | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Samgurali is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Samgurali · 1.8 pts / match - Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Tbilisi is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.63 goals / match - Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.11 goals / match - Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Dinamo Tbilisi keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Dinamo Tbilisi scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Samgurali
Over / Under — Dinamo Tbilisi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Tbilisi is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Samgurali · 1.32 pts / match - Dinamo Tbilisi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dinamo Tbilisi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Samgurali | Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Samgurali 1 - 2 - 2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 1:2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Dinamo Tbilisi?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 1, Dinamo Tbilisi won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Samgurali score 1.32 goals per game on average and Dinamo Tbilisi 1.63. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Samgurali's matches and 63% of Dinamo Tbilisi's.
What form are Samgurali and Dinamo Tbilisi in?
Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.