Samgurali vs Gagra: match statistics
Samgurali vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samgurali play Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Samgurali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samgurali scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samgurali 63%, Gagra 58%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 58%, Gagra 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.36. Samgurali: 11.2 shots per match, Gagra: 10.3.
Match halves
Samgurali: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84. Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Samgurali: 76-90+ (9 goals). Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-2-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 17%.
Match description
Statistical analysis favors an away win for Gagra. Samgurali have 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12; at home they concede on average 1.25 goals per match and have no clean sheets (0%). Gagra average 1.2 points per match over their last 5, have not recorded an away loss (0% defeats), score 1.25 goals away and concede only 0.75 per match. Samgurali post higher average xG at home (1.36 vs 1.19 xG for Gagra away) and register slightly more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.25), but the visitors convert chances better (13% conversion vs 10%) and have no issue scoring away (0% matches without a goal). Given the visitors’ superior defense (0.75 goals conceded away vs 1.25 at home), higher finishing efficiency and better recent points average (1.2 vs 0.6 over the last 5), I rate Gagra as more likely to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samgurali | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Samgurali · 2.2 pts / match - Gagra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samgurali is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Samgurali · 0.95 goals / match - Gagra
Gagra is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.26 goals / match - Gagra
Samgurali scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Samgurali
Over / Under — Gagra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Samgurali is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Samgurali · 0.89 pts / match - Gagra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samgurali
Gagra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Samgurali | Liga | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Samgurali 2 - 2 - 2 Gagra. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samgurali vs Gagra?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 2:0 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Gagra?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 2, Gagra won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Gagra?
Samgurali score 1.32 goals per game on average and Gagra 0.95. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Samgurali's matches and 58% of Gagra's.
What form are Samgurali and Gagra in?
Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Gagra 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Gagra?
The statistical background for Samgurali vs Gagra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.