Sampdoria vs Spezia: match statistics
Sampdoria are solid at home with a 40% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts record a higher average xG in home matches (1.54) compared to Spezia's away xG (1.27), indicating better quality of chances created. Spezia have poor away form with 60% losses and only 20% wins, as well as a lower average shots on target (3.7) than Sampdoria at home (4.1). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), however, home advantage and better offensive statistics speak in favor of the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to Sampdoria's 30% DrawPercentage in home matches and the tight battle in the bottom half of the table.
Sampdoria vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sampdoria played against Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Sampdoria has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Spezia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sampdoria scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.33. Spezia scores 0.90 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Sampdoria's games and 52% of Spezia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sampdoria has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.23 per game. Sampdoria takes 13.7 shots per game, while Spezia takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Sampdoria leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Spezia leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sampdoria's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Spezia, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sampdoria are solid at home with a 40% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts record a higher average xG in home matches (1.54) compared to Spezia's away xG (1.27), indicating better quality of chances created. Spezia have poor away form with 60% losses and only 20% wins, as well as a lower average shots on target (3.7) than Sampdoria at home (4.1). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), however, home advantage and better offensive statistics speak in favor of the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to Sampdoria's 30% DrawPercentage in home matches and the tight battle in the bottom half of the table.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sampdoria | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sampdoria is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Sampdoria · 0.9 goals / game - Spezia
Sampdoria scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Spezia scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sampdoria
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spezia is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Sampdoria · 1 pts / game - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sampdoria - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sampdoria
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Sampdoria | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.29 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sampdoria's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Spezia. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sampdoria vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Sampdoria 1:0 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sampdoria vs Spezia?
Sampdoria score 0.95 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.90. The Serie B average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Sampdoria's matches and 52% of Spezia's.
What form are Sampdoria and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Sampdoria have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Spezia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sampdoria vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.