San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
San Antonio played against Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on May 24, 2026. Venue: Toyota Field. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
San Antonio has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sacramento Republic has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
San Antonio scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.90. Sacramento Republic scores 1.38 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of San Antonio's games and 63% of Sacramento Republic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 25%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sacramento Republic has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.42 per game. San Antonio takes 13.1 shots per game, while Sacramento Republic takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
San Antonio leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 13% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
San Antonio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Sacramento Republic, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Antonio looks strong at home — 60% home win rate and no home losses (0% loss rate), scoring on average 1.6 goals per game with xG 1.7 and averaging 5 shots on target per game. Sacramento are less effective away — 0% wins and 100% draws on the road, averaging only 0.67 goals per game with xG 1.12 and 2.33 shots on target. Both teams are in good form: San Antonio in their last 5 matches have 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game) and 8 goals scored, while Sacramento have 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game) and 9 goals, indicating higher overall efficiency from the visitors. Still, San Antonio’s superiority in shot volume (15.2 vs 9), higher conversion rate (11% vs 7%) and 60% clean sheets at home versus 33% for the visitors suggest greater chances for the hosts. On this basis I assign San Antonio a 58% probability of victory, draw 30% and an away win for Sacramento 12%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high BTTS rates this season: San Antonio 60% and Sacramento 67%, above the league average of 56%, indicating a tendency for Goal/Goal matches. San Antonio scores 1.8 goals per game with xG 1.61 while conceding 1.0, whereas Sacramento has season xG 1.12 and concedes 1.01, so expected goals point to goals from both sides. San Antonio averages 4.4 shots on target with 15% conversion, and Sacramento 2.33 shots on target with 7% conversion, which increases the chance the hosts will capitalize on chances, while Sacramento—despite a low season average of 0.67 goals—has improved (1.8 goals in the last 5 matches). Clean sheet percentages are 40% for San Antonio and 33% for Sacramento, and season goal tallies (San Antonio 12 scored/9 conceded; Sacramento 11/7) do not indicate both defenses shutting games down. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.31 goals for San Antonio (xG for 1.61 vs xG against Sacramento 1.01) and 1.24 for Sacramento (xG for 1.12 vs xG against San Antonio 1.35), totaling 2.55 expected goals. San Antonio averages 1.8 goals per match with 12.4 shots and 4.4 on target and a 15% conversion rate, while Sacramento has 0.67 goals, 9.0 shots and only a 7% conversion, indicating a home advantage in chance conversion. Over/Under stats confirm this trend: San Antonio has 100% of matches over 1.5 this season, Sacramento 67%, whereas at the 2.5 line only 40% of homes and 0% of away matches finished over 2.5, and at 3.5 it's 20% and 0% respectively. Considering the expected 2.55 goals and the large efficiency differences, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — I assess its probability at about 90% (Under 10%); Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~56% vs 44%); Over 3.5 is unlikely (~21% vs 79%). Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the best line: the hosts have 100% season matches over 1.5 and combined xG 2.55, which provides the greatest statistical edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
San Antonio are favorites for the final result: they average 1.8 goals per match versus Sacramento’s 0.67, have a higher xG (1.61 vs 1.12) and more shots on target (4.4 vs 2.33), which supports their victory. At half-time the statistics are balanced (both teams have an AVGHT of 1.0), and San Antonio score on average 0.4 goals HT versus Sacramento’s 0.33, increasing the likelihood of a draw at the 45-minute mark. In the last 5 matches San Antonio led at the break in 60% of games (3/5), while Sacramento did so in only 20% (1/5); however, the hosts are particularly strong after the interval: 1.4 second-half goals on average and scoring in 80% of matches after the break versus 0.33 and 33% for Sacramento. Considering the xG advantage, superior shot numbers and dominance in second halves, the most likely HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time and a San Antonio win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sacramento Republic is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - San Antonio · 1.6 pts / game - Sacramento Republic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sacramento Republic is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - San Antonio · 1.38 goals / game - Sacramento Republic
San Antonio scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
Sacramento Republic scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Antonio
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 93% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - San Antonio · 0.88 pts / game - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
San Antonio
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| San Antonio | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.10 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 56% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from San Antonio's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Sacramento Republic. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished San Antonio 2:1 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Antonio and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches San Antonio won 1, Sacramento Republic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
San Antonio score 1.20 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 40% of San Antonio's matches and 63% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are San Antonio and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games San Antonio have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.