San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II: match statistics
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
San Jose Earthquakes II played against Sporting KC II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 8, 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Sporting KC II has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
San Jose Earthquakes II scores 2.21 goals per game and allows 1.21. Sporting KC II scores 1.29 and allows 2.59. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of San Jose Earthquakes II's games and 65% of Sporting KC II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 82%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
San Jose Earthquakes II has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.49 per game. San Jose Earthquakes II takes 12.8 shots per game, while Sporting KC II takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
San Jose Earthquakes II leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Sporting KC II leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
San Jose Earthquakes II's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Sporting KC II, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a San Jose Earthquakes II win: the hosts win 80% of home matches and have a positive goal difference at the stadium (+11). At home San Jose averages 2.8 goals per game with an average xG of 1.39 and a very high shot conversion rate of 25%, while also keeping 40% clean sheets; meanwhile Sporting KC II concedes an average of 2.63 goals on the road and has 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 goals and averaged 1.4 points per game, whereas Sporting KC II conceded 15 goals in five matches and has only 0.6 points per game. Sporting produces more shots away (14.38 vs 11.2 for the hosts), but their conversion is only 13% compared to San Jose’s 25%, indicating greater efficiency from the hosts despite fewer chances. Considering the hosts’ defensive advantage (0.6 goals conceded at home vs Sporting’s 2.63 away) and superior finishing, I assess the probabilities as 68% for a home win, 18% for a draw and 14% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS statistics favor Both Teams To Score: Sporting KC II has a season BTTS rate of 88% (80% in last 5), while San Jose Earthquakes II have 44% seasonally and 60% in last 5, giving a short-term average of 70%. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and average goals conceded of 2.56 (San Jose) and 2.63 (Sporting), so both regularly concede. xG and shooting analysis confirm this: attacking xG is 1.37 vs 1.62, xG against 1.77 vs 1.74, and average shots on target 4.11 and 5.25 with conversion rates of 6% and 13%, indicating both sides create real chances. The league average is 3.25 goals per match, matches over 2.5 at 67% and 100% for home and away respectively, therefore I predict BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% vs 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show a clear trend toward high-scoring matches: San Jose have Over 1.5 in 89% of games, Sporting KC in 100%, and Over 2.5 occurs for them in 67% and 100% of matches respectively. Defenses are vulnerable to goals — San Jose concede 2.56 goals per match on average, Sporting KC 2.63, and opponents generate xG against them of 1.77 and 1.74, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Based on attacking xG of 1.37 (San Jose) and 1.62 (Sporting) and xG allowed to opponents, I estimate expected goals of about 1.56 for the home side and 1.69 for the visitors, roughly ~3.25 goals total. Additionally, in the last 5 matches San Jose score on average 2.0 goals, Sporting 1.6, and Over 2.5 occurred in the last five for them in 80% and 100% of cases respectively, therefore the strongest and most probable pick is Over 1.5 (≈95%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sporting KC II have the offensive edge: on average 1.88 goals scored per match versus San Jose’s 0.78, higher xG 1.62 vs 1.37 and better shot conversion 13% vs 6%. First-half data is mixed — seasonally San Jose average only 0.11 goals at the break versus 0.88 for the visitors, but in the last five matches the hosts score an average of 1.2 goals at the break vs 0.6 for Sporting, which increases the likelihood of a draw after 45 minutes. The second half usually decides the outcome: average goals after the break are 1.89 for San Jose and 2.25 for Sporting, with 89% of San Jose’s matches and 88% of Sporting’s matches featuring a post-break goal, and Sporting score on average 1.0 goals after the break vs 0.67 for the hosts. Given the visitors’ higher efficiency (13% vs 6%) and xG advantage, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Sporting KC II turnaround in the second half (X/2) — hence X/2 at 34%. I estimate the overall probability of a away win at 66% (1/2=10% + X/2=34% + 2/2=22%), while San Jose’s chance of victory is around 10% (1/1+X/1+2/1 = 2%+5%+3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Sporting KC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
San Jose Earthquakes II is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - San Jose Earthquakes II · 0.6 pts / game - Sporting KC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Jose Earthquakes II is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
2.21 goals / game - San Jose Earthquakes II · 1.29 goals / game - Sporting KC II
San Jose Earthquakes II is 114% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - San Jose Earthquakes II · 2.59 goals / game - Sporting KC II
San Jose Earthquakes II scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Sporting KC II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 17 meczów).
Sporting KC II scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while San Jose Earthquakes II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Jose Earthquakes II
Over / Under - Sporting KC II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Jose Earthquakes II is 251% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / game - San Jose Earthquakes II · 0.59 pts / game - Sporting KC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Jose Earthquakes II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting KC II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
San Jose Earthquakes II
Sporting KC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Liga | Sporting KC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.43 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from San Jose Earthquakes II's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Sporting KC II. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished San Jose Earthquakes II 6:1 Sporting KC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Jose Earthquakes II and Sporting KC II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches San Jose Earthquakes II won 1, Sporting KC II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II?
San Jose Earthquakes II score 2.21 goals per game on average and Sporting KC II 1.29. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of San Jose Earthquakes II's matches and 65% of Sporting KC II's.
What form are San Jose Earthquakes II and Sporting KC II in?
Over the last 5 games San Jose Earthquakes II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sporting KC II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II?
The statistical background for San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting KC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.