San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza: match statistics
San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
San Lorenzo played against Gimnasia Mendoza in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on July 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
San Lorenzo has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Gimnasia Mendoza has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
San Lorenzo scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 0.94. Gimnasia Mendoza scores 0.88 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of San Lorenzo's games and 50% of Gimnasia Mendoza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 38%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gimnasia Mendoza has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.24 per game. San Lorenzo takes 10.1 shots per game, while Gimnasia Mendoza takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
San Lorenzo leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Gimnasia Mendoza leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
San Lorenzo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Gimnasia Mendoza, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Lorenzo holds a clear advantage in chance creation and quality of play at home: home xG 1.62 vs 0.95 for Gimnasia, with average shots 13.88 vs 7.63 and shots on target 4.63 vs 3.13. The hosts score 1.25 goals per home match on average, while the visitors average just 0.63 goals away, and the share of goalless matches is 13% for San Lorenzo vs 38% for Gimnasia. Defensively San Lorenzo concedes 1.38 goals per match with an opponent xG of 1.41, whereas the visitors concede 1.75 goals away with opponent xG 1.90, and clean sheet rate is 50% vs 25% in favor of the hosts. Although Gimnasia has a better points run in the last 5 matches (1.6 pts/match vs 0.8 pts/match for San Lorenzo), the home advantage in xG, chance volume and the lower FTS (13% vs 38%) support a San Lorenzo win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have 50% BTTS this season and both sides record 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, which is a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. San Lorenzo at home averages 1.13 goals and generates xG 1.57 with 14.25 shots (4.5 on target), while Gimnasia as the away team averages 0.63 goals and xG 0.95 for the season, but concedes 1.75 goals and has xG against 1.90 — this indicates the hosts are likely to score and the visitors’ defense is vulnerable. Gimnasia, however, averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded in their last 5 matches, and both teams have only 25% clean sheets this season (versus the league 68%), which increases the chance of goals from both sides. Considering the 60% BTTS in recent matches, the xG disparity (1.57 vs 1.90) and the low 25% clean sheets, I assign a 65% probability to BTTS 'Yes' and 35% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
After analyzing the statistics I obtain expected xG of 1.43 for San Lorenzo and 0.85 for Gimnasia Mendoza, giving a total of 2.28 goals. Home attacking xG is 1.57 versus 0.95 for the visitors, while xG against the visitors is high (1.90), so in the model I averaged xG and actual goals per game (1.13 for San Lorenzo and 0.63 for Gimnasia) and derived 1.43/0.85. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.28 yields roughly a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~40% for Over 2.5 and only ~20% for 4+ goals, which aligns with seasonal indicators (seasonOver25 38% for both teams, seasonOver35 13% for the home side and 25% for the visitors). Additionally, the high frequency of matches under 3.5 (seasonUnder35 87% for San Lorenzo and 75% for Gimnasia) along with the visitors’ low average shots (7.63) and 8% conversion limit the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Based on this, I recommend playing Under 3.5 as the strongest and most probable scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with San Lorenzo winning the match (X/1): both teams were level at the break in 63% of their games, and San Lorenzo wins 50% of matches compared to Gimnasia Mendoza’s 13%. In second halves San Lorenzo averages 0.63 goals and has accumulated 14 points (1.75 per match), while Gimnasia has only 0.13 goals and 6 points (0.75 per match), clearly showing the home side’s advantage after the interval. Additionally, San Lorenzo’s xG is 1.57 versus the visitors’ 0.95, and the hosts average 14.25 shots (4.5 on target) compared to Gimnasia’s 7.63 (3.13 on target), with an identical conversion rate of 8%, so the hosts create more opportunities. Over the season San Lorenzo averages 1.63 points per game versus Gimnasia’s 0.75, therefore I assign the highest probability to X/1, a moderate probability to X/X and low chances for the visitors to lead at the break or win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| San Lorenzo | Gimnasia Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gimnasia Mendoza is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - San Lorenzo · 2 pts / game - Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Lorenzo is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - San Lorenzo · 0.88 goals / game - Gimnasia Mendoza
San Lorenzo is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - San Lorenzo · 1.38 goals / game - Gimnasia Mendoza
San Lorenzo scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Gimnasia Mendoza keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Gimnasia Mendoza scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Lorenzo
Over / Under - Gimnasia Mendoza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Lorenzo is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - San Lorenzo · 1 pts / game - Gimnasia Mendoza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gimnasia Mendoza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia Mendoza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| San Lorenzo | Liga | Gimnasia Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from San Lorenzo's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Gimnasia Mendoza. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
The Primera División match finished San Lorenzo 1:0 Gimnasia Mendoza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
San Lorenzo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Gimnasia Mendoza 0.88. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 41% of San Lorenzo's matches and 50% of Gimnasia Mendoza's.
What form are San Lorenzo and Gimnasia Mendoza in?
Over the last 5 games San Lorenzo have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.