San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Martín San Juan played Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
San Martín San Juan: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Martín San Juan scores 1.05 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.73 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Martín San Juan 60%, Atlético Rafaela 27%. Over 2.5: San Martín San Juan 40%, Atlético Rafaela 23%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
San Martín San Juan has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.15. San Martín San Juan: 10.8 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 8.4.
Match halves
San Martín San Juan: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
San Martín San Juan: 0-15 (5 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Martín San Juan holds a clear advantage in both quality and quantity of chances — at home they average 13.11 shots and 4.89 on target per match with xG 1.58, while Atlético Rafaela on the road register 8.36 shots and 2.45 on target with xG 1.08. The visitors have serious finishing issues: they score just 0.36 goals per away match and have failed to score in 64% of away fixtures, whereas the hosts score 1.11 goals at home and fail to score in only 22% of matches. Defensively San Martín also performs better — they concede 0.78 goals at home with xG against 1.13, while Rafaela concede 1.09 away with xG against 1.77, indicating greater risk for their defensive line. Recent form confirms the home advantage: in the last five matches San Martín scored 6 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while Rafaela managed only 2 goals and 0.6 points with 8 conceded. Considering the higher xG (1.58 vs 1.08), greater volume and quality of shots (13.11/4.89 vs 8.36/2.45) and the visitors' low finishing rate, I favor a San Martín San Juan victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the 'no' outcome in the BTTS market. San Martín San Juan keeps a clean sheet in 73% of matches and concedes only 0.55 goals per game on average; in the last 5 matches they scored 6 and conceded 5. Atlético Rafaela averages 0.36 goals scored this season (2 goals in the last 5) and concedes 1.09 goals per game. Rafaela generates xG 1.08 with 2.45 shots on target, but their conversion rate is only 4%, whereas the home side converts at 13% with 3.55 shots on target, which favors one side of the pitch. Both teams’ seasonal BTTS rates are low (27% and 27%), and only 39% of league matches finish with both teams scoring, so a No Goal scenario is more likely. On this basis I assess the probability of BTTS 'no' at 80% and 'yes' at 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 2.31 (1.23 for San Martín and 1.08 for Atlético Rafaela), and over the last 5 matches the average xG rises to 2.46 (1.47 + 0.99), indicating an expected total goal range around 2.3–2.5. San Martín scores 1.09 goals per home match on average (xG 1.23) and has 73% clean sheets at home, but in the last five games they scored 6 goals (1.2 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0 avg), showing increased offensive activity. Atlético Rafaela on the road has only 0.36 goals per match with xG 1.08 and a very low shot conversion rate of 4%, and in their last 5 matches they scored 2 goals (0.4 avg), so their xG converts poorly into goals. Considering the combined xG around 2.31–2.46, total shots ~16.9 per match (8.55 + 8.36) and the discrepancy between Rafaela’s xG and conversion, the strongest signal is a bet on over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is more balanced and risky. Therefore I project expected goals of 1.35 for the home team and 0.95 for the away team (total 2.30) and recommend backing over 1.5 as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). Season-long data shows draws at the break in 55% of San Martín’s matches, while hosts win 64% of games this season compared to 9% for visitors, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround in the second half. San Martín averages 0.82 goals after the break and registers at least one goal in 64% of second halves, whereas Atlético Rafaela have failed to score before half-time in their last five matches (0.0 average), favoring the home side. Home xG is 1.23 versus 1.08 for the visitors, while visitors concede 1.77 xG per game compared to 1.25 for the hosts, so Rafaela look weaker defensively and are more likely to concede after the break. Additionally, San Martín have 73% of matches this season without conceding and a higher shot conversion rate of 13% versus 4% for the visitors, therefore the X/1 scenario appears to be the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Martín San Juan | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Martín San Juan is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Martín San Juan · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Martín San Juan is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - San Martín San Juan · 0.73 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Atlético Rafaela is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - San Martín San Juan · 0.82 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
San Martín San Juan scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while San Martín San Juan keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Martín San Juan
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Martín San Juan is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - San Martín San Juan · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Martín San Juan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Martín San Juan
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Martín San Juan | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.10 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 38% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): San Martín San Juan 0 - 0 - 2 Atlético Rafaela. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Martín San Juan 1:1 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Martín San Juan and Atlético Rafaela?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches San Martín San Juan won 0, Atlético Rafaela won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela?
San Martín San Juan score 1.05 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.73. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 60% of San Martín San Juan's matches and 27% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are San Martín San Juan and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games San Martín San Juan have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for San Martín San Juan vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.