San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Martín Tucumán play Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
San Martín Tucumán: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Martín Tucumán scores 0.90 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Martín Tucumán 29%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. Over 2.5: San Martín Tucumán 14%, Atlético Rafaela 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
San Martín Tucumán has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.15. San Martín Tucumán: 9.9 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 8.4.
Match halves
San Martín Tucumán: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.38. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
San Martín Tucumán: 16-30 (5 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a draw. San Martín have as many as 80% draws at home and remain unbeaten on their stadium (0% home defeats), which strongly increases the probability of a split result. Both teams have 10 goals this season, but the hosts generate on average 1.33 xG at home and score 1.00 goal per match while conceding 0.6, whereas Atlético Rafaela away posts 1.22 xG and 0.75 goals per match. The hosts dominate possession (58% vs 39%), while the visitors take more shots (10.25 vs 9.4) but convert them worse (7% vs 11%), suggesting greater control by the home side and lower efficiency from Rafaela. Additionally Atlético’s away xG against is 1.93 (vs 0.85 xG against for San Martín at home) and although both teams average 1.2 points in their last 5 matches, defensive metrics and the high home draw rate (80%) lead me to a draw with a lower chance of an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Martín Tucumán | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Martín Tucumán is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - San Martín Tucumán · 0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Martín Tucumán is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - San Martín Tucumán · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
San Martín Tucumán is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - San Martín Tucumán · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
San Martín Tucumán scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while San Martín Tucumán keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Martín Tucumán
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Martín Tucumán is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - San Martín Tucumán · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Martín Tucumán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Martín Tucumán
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Martín Tucumán | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 39% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Martín Tucumán 2:1 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela?
San Martín Tucumán score 0.90 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.71. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of San Martín Tucumán's matches and 29% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are San Martín Tucumán and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games San Martín Tucumán have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for San Martín Tucumán vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.