San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Miguel play Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
San Miguel: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ferro Carril Oeste: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Miguel scores 0.85 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.19 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Miguel 45%, Ferro Carril Oeste 38%. Over 2.5: San Miguel 25%, Ferro Carril Oeste 29%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.36. San Miguel: 10.2 shots per match, Ferro Carril Oeste: 13.1.
Match halves
San Miguel: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
San Miguel: 46-60 (4 goals). Ferro Carril Oeste: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Ferro Carril Oeste holds a clear seasonal and form advantage: they have won 11 of 19 matches this season versus San Miguel’s 5 wins, and in the last 5 fixtures the visitors recorded 4 wins and 1 draw while the hosts have 1 win and 4 draws. Offensively Ferro scored 22 goals this season (7 in the last 5) compared to San Miguel’s 17 (6 in the last 5), with last-5 points averages of 2.6 for Ferro and 1.4 for San Miguel. The visitors are also more efficient with shots: on average 3.6 shots on target and a 12% conversion rate away versus 3.22 shots on target and an 8% conversion rate for the hosts at home. Defensively Ferro performs better — conceding on average 0.6 goals away and keeping clean sheets in 60% of matches, while San Miguel concedes 0.78 goals at home and has 44% clean sheets. Although San Miguel generates higher xG at home (1.7 versus 1.3 xG for Ferro away), the advantage in results, efficiency and form leads me to predict an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Miguel | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Miguel · 3 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - San Miguel · 1.19 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - San Miguel · 0.67 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Miguel
Over / Under — Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Miguel is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - San Miguel · 1.14 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Miguel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Miguel | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.90 | 1.89 | • 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 30% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): San Miguel 2 - 1 - 0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Miguel 0:1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Miguel and Ferro Carril Oeste?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 2, Ferro Carril Oeste won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
San Miguel score 0.85 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.19. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 45% of San Miguel's matches and 38% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are San Miguel and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games San Miguel have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.