San Telmo vs Los Andes: match statistics

San Telmo are coming off a poor run, with just 1 win and 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches, but Los Andes have been even worse: they have failed to win any of their five games and have scored only 1 goal during that span. At home, the hosts create more chances, averaging 12.23 shots and recording an xG of 1.64, while Los Andes’ away xG stands at 1.36. The visitors’ away defense is solid, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games, which significantly increases the likelihood of a low-scoring outcome and a draw. At the same time, Los Andes fail to score in 50% of their away matches, while San Telmo average 1.08 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 46% of games. The slight home advantage and the higher quality of chances created point towards a narrow San Telmo victory.

Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS - No: San Telmo has seen both teams score in only 21% of matches, while the figure for Los Andes is just 17%, compared with a league average of 40%. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their games, while the visitors have done so in 50%, significantly increasing the chance that one side will fail to score. Los Andes’ current attacking form is particularly poor, with just 1 goal scored in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game. San Telmo have also scored only 0.8 goals per match recently, while the low percentages of games finishing over 2.5 goals—14% and 25%—point to a closed, low-scoring scenario. Although the latest xG stands at 1.29 for San Telmo and 1.48 for Los Andes, their actual finishing record and high clean-sheet rates provide stronger support for the outcome that at least one team will fail to score.

The seasonal profile of both teams strongly favors a low-scoring game: 93% of San Telmo’s matches and all Los Andes fixtures finished with fewer than 3.5 goals. The hosts average just 0.71 goals per game, while Los Andes average 0.83; moreover, the visitors have scored only 1 goal in their last five appearances, or 0.2 per match. San Telmo keep a clean sheet in 64% of their matches, while the Both Teams to Score rate is just 21% for the hosts and 17% for the visitors, limiting the likelihood of an open game. Although the average xG figures are 1.60 for San Telmo and 1.36 for Los Andes, low shot-conversion rates of 6% and 8%, respectively, together with the very rare occurrence of results above 3.5 goals, give a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals option.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and full-time, as San Telmo were level at the break in 9 of their 14 matches, or 64% of cases, while the hosts’ average first-half goal tally is just 0.21. Los Andes score an average of 0.50 goals in the opening 45 minutes, but San Telmo concede only 0.14 during this period and keep a clean sheet at half-time in 86% of matches. Both teams have also been highly ineffective in their last five outings: San Telmo average 0.8 goals per match and Los Andes just 0.2, with neither side scoring before the break in that period. The low-scoring potential is further supported by the seasonal full-match averages of 1.14 goals in San Telmo matches and 1.58 in Los Andes matches, as well as the low percentages of games in which both teams scored: 21% and 17%, respectively. The hosts have the higher xG, 1.60 compared with 1.36, but their 50% seasonal draw rate and both teams’ poor current form point more towards a cautious sharing of the points than a decisive result.