San Telmo vs San Miguel: match statistics
San Telmo vs San Miguel: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
San Telmo played against San Miguel in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on August 2, 2026. Venue: Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
San Telmo has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. San Miguel has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
San Telmo scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 1.10. San Miguel scores 0.81 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of San Telmo's games and 43% of San Miguel's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 24%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
San Miguel has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.29 per game. San Telmo takes 9.5 shots per game, while San Miguel takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
San Telmo leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. San Miguel leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
San Telmo's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For San Miguel, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis shows San Telmo creates more chances at home (avg. 12.55 shots per match, 4.27 on target, xG 1.68) than San Miguel away (7.8 shots, 2.5 on target, xG 1.04), yet the hosts convert this into only 1.00 goal per home match with an 8% conversion rate. San Miguel is more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 10%) and has a better recent points run (last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, PPG 1.2) compared to San Telmo (last 5: 1-1-3, PPG 0.8); additionally the visitors concede 21 goals season-to-date versus 23 for the hosts. Defensively the teams are comparable — San Telmo concedes 1.18 goals at home, San Miguel 1.3 away — which, combined with low average scoring (combined average goals in hosts’ matches ~2.18 and in away matches ~2.1), indicates a low-goal game. Considering San Telmo’s edge in chance creation but San Miguel’s greater ability to salvage draws (70% of away matches drawn) and superior form, I tip the match as a draw; probability distribution estimated as: home 28%, draw 44%, away 28%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators are mixed: San Telmo has BTTS 36% versus San Miguel 50%, and the league average BTTS is 39%, indicating a generally low frequency of both teams scoring this season. However, in the last 5 matches San Telmo has BTTS 60% and concedes an average of 1.4 goals (7 conceded in 5 matches), while San Miguel scored 5 goals in those 5 fixtures, i.e. 1.0 goal per match, which increases the likelihood the visitors will score. Looking at xG and shots, San Telmo generates xG 1.60 and averages 12.27 shots per match (3.0 on target), whereas San Miguel allows opponents xG 1.42; simultaneously San Miguel has xG 1.04 and averages 7.8 shots (2.5 on target) versus xG against San Telmo 1.21 — this suggests both teams create quality chances. The counterargument is San Telmo’s season clean sheet percentage of 45% and the high league clean sheet rate of 78%, which reduce the overall BTTS potential, however the last 5-match balance, xG relationship and shot volumes incline me toward a both teams to score scenario. Therefore I rate BTTS - Yes 62% and No 38%, selecting Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and match-data based model yields a total expected goals of 2.64: San Telmo 1.51 xG, San Miguel 1.13 xG. This results from the clash of xG values — San Telmo has an attacking xG of 1.6 versus xG conceded to San Miguel of 1.42 (hence 1.51 for the home side), while San Miguel has attacking xG 1.04 versus xG conceded to San Telmo 1.21 (1.13 for the away side). With total xG = 2.64 the goal distribution indicates ~74% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally San Telmo averages 12.27 shots (3.0 on target) per match versus 7.8 (2.5 on target) for San Miguel; season rates of matches with at least 1 goal are 82% and 80%, and with at least 2 goals 55% and 80%, which supports at least 2 goals in the match. At the same time both teams have low season goal averages (San Telmo 0.82, San Miguel 0.8) and differing finishing rates (shot conversion 7% vs 10%), so I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the best and least risky option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1): San Telmo are level at the break in 45% of matches and San Miguel in 50%, yielding roughly a 46% chance of an HT draw. After the break the hosts have the edge in chance creation — San Telmo’s xG is 1.60 versus San Miguel’s 1.04, on average 12.27 shots versus 7.8 and 3.0 shots on target versus 2.5 — which increases the likelihood of a goal after the interval. Across the season San Telmo win 36% of fixtures compared to just 10% for San Miguel, while the visitors record 70% draws, so HT stalemates frequently swing in favor of the hosts. Additionally, San Telmo keep a clean sheet at the break in 73% of matches whereas San Miguel concede 1.3 goals per game on average; therefore my model assigns X/1 a 21% probability (alternatives: 1/1 18% and X/X 16%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| San Telmo | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
San Miguel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - San Telmo · 1.2 pts / game - San Miguel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Miguel is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - San Telmo · 1 goals / game - San Miguel
San Telmo scores in 52% of games (11 of 21 games), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 games).
San Miguel scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 games), while San Telmo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Telmo
Over / Under - San Miguel
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Miguel is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - San Telmo · 1.19 pts / game - San Miguel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Telmo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
San Miguel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
San Telmo
San Miguel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Telmo | Liga | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.90 | 1.90 | • 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from San Telmo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against San Miguel. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of San Telmo vs San Miguel?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Telmo 1:0 San Miguel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Telmo vs San Miguel?
San Telmo score 0.81 goals per game on average and San Miguel 0.81. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 38% of San Telmo's matches and 43% of San Miguel's.
What form are San Telmo and San Miguel in?
Over the last 5 games San Telmo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and San Miguel 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Telmo vs San Miguel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Telmo vs San Miguel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.