Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
The match promises to be very even, which argues for a draw. Santa Fe presents solid home form with 67% draws at home and only one defeat in three home matches. Atlético Nacional has a better overall record (4 wins in 5 matches), but their away statistics are alarming - 100% defeats and 100% matches without scoring a goal on the road. Santa Fe scores an average of 1.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.83, suggesting efficiency, whereas the guests have a positive xG (1.59) away but fail to capitalize on it (0 goals on average). Possession advantage for both teams (56% vs 59%) and close xG indicators point to a tactical balance. Considering Atlético's difficulties with converting chances away and Santa Fe's tendency to draw at home, the most probable result is a split of points.
Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Santa Fe played against Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on February 26, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Santa Fe has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Santa Fe scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.25. Atlético Nacional scores 2.60 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Santa Fe's games and 40% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 80%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.97 to 1.53 per game. Santa Fe takes 14.6 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 18.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Santa Fe leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Santa Fe's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very even, which argues for a draw. Santa Fe presents solid home form with 67% draws at home and only one defeat in three home matches. Atlético Nacional has a better overall record (4 wins in 5 matches), but their away statistics are alarming - 100% defeats and 100% matches without scoring a goal on the road. Santa Fe scores an average of 1.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.83, suggesting efficiency, whereas the guests have a positive xG (1.59) away but fail to capitalize on it (0 goals on average). Possession advantage for both teams (56% vs 59%) and close xG indicators point to a tactical balance. Considering Atlético's difficulties with converting chances away and Santa Fe's tendency to draw at home, the most probable result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Santa Fe · 2.4 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 130% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Santa Fe · 2.6 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 108% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Santa Fe · 0.6 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Santa Fe scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Atlético Nacional scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Fe
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 249% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / game - Santa Fe · 2.2 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Santa Fe
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.38 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Santa Fe's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Nacional. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 1:2 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
Santa Fe score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.60. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Santa Fe's matches and 40% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Santa Fe and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.