Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Santa Fe at home displays a high draw rate (60% Draw%), not losing any home match without scoring (0% FTS%), although their recent form is mixed (1-2-2). Independiente Medellín shows better overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches) and a higher PPG (2.0 vs 1.0), yet their away results are more unpredictable (33% Win%, 33% Draw%, 33% Loss%). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+0 GD), and the average xG suggests a slight advantage for the hosts (1.57 vs 1.12). Considering Santa Fe's strong tendency for draws at home and the balanced disposition of both sides, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight statistical edge in home matches gives them marginally higher chances of victory than the visitors.
Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Santa Fe played against Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 23, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Santa Fe has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Independiente Medellín has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Santa Fe scores 1.09 goals per game and allows 1.27. Independiente Medellín scores 1.36 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 82% of Santa Fe's games and 73% of Independiente Medellín's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 64%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.42 per game. Santa Fe takes 13.4 shots per game, while Independiente Medellín takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Santa Fe leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 9% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Santa Fe's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Independiente Medellín, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Santa Fe at home displays a high draw rate (60% Draw%), not losing any home match without scoring (0% FTS%), although their recent form is mixed (1-2-2). Independiente Medellín shows better overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches) and a higher PPG (2.0 vs 1.0), yet their away results are more unpredictable (33% Win%, 33% Draw%, 33% Loss%). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+0 GD), and the average xG suggests a slight advantage for the hosts (1.57 vs 1.12). Considering Santa Fe's strong tendency for draws at home and the balanced disposition of both sides, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight statistical edge in home matches gives them marginally higher chances of victory than the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente Medellín is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Santa Fe · 1.6 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.09 goals / game - Santa Fe · 1.36 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Santa Fe · 1.36 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Independiente Medellín scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Fe
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Fe is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Santa Fe · 0.64 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.36 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Santa Fe's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Independiente Medellín. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 2:1 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1, Independiente Medellín won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
Santa Fe score 1.09 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.36. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Santa Fe's matches and 73% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.