São Paulo vs Flamengo: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams in this meeting. São Paulo occupies the 18th position in the table, while Flamengo ranks 10th, giving a slight advantage to the visitors. However, the form of both teams in the last five matches is identical - both earned 0.8 points per game, recording one win, one draw, and three losses each. São Paulo scored 5 goals and conceded 10 in the last five meetings, whereas Flamengo has a balance of 4 goals scored and 8 conceded, showing similar defensive problems for both teams. The lack of detailed home and away statistics hinders a more accurate assessment; however, the identical form and poor results of both squads suggest that a draw is the most probable result of this balanced duel.
São Paulo vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Paulo play Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 29 January 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
São Paulo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Flamengo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Paulo scores 1.28 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.82 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Paulo 56%, Flamengo 47%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 39%, Flamengo 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.35. São Paulo: 11.8 shots per match, Flamengo: 14.8.
Match halves
São Paulo: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.89. Flamengo: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
São Paulo: 61-75 (6 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams in this meeting. São Paulo occupies the 18th position in the table, while Flamengo ranks 10th, giving a slight advantage to the visitors. However, the form of both teams in the last five matches is identical - both earned 0.8 points per game, recording one win, one draw, and three losses each. São Paulo scored 5 goals and conceded 10 in the last five meetings, whereas Flamengo has a balance of 4 goals scored and 8 conceded, showing similar defensive problems for both teams. The lack of detailed home and away statistics hinders a more accurate assessment; however, the identical form and poor results of both squads suggest that a draw is the most probable result of this balanced duel.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Paulo | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - São Paulo · 1.6 pts / match - Flamengo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.82 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - São Paulo · 0.94 goals / match - Flamengo
São Paulo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Flamengo scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — São Paulo
Over / Under — Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - São Paulo · 1.82 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Paulo
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| São Paulo | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): São Paulo 0 - 1 - 1 Flamengo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of São Paulo vs Flamengo?
The Serie A match finished São Paulo 2:1 Flamengo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Flamengo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0, Flamengo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Flamengo?
São Paulo score 1.28 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.82. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of São Paulo's matches and 47% of Flamengo's.
What form are São Paulo and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Flamengo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Flamengo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.