Brazil - Serie AEstádio Cícero Pompeu de ToledoData current as of October 17, 2026

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics

Reasoning:

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São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

São Paulo plays Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.

Recent form

São Paulo has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Vasco da Gama has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

São Paulo scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.17. Vasco da Gama scores 1.24 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of São Paulo's games and 62% of Vasco da Gama's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 59%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Vasco da Gama has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.50 per game. São Paulo takes 13.6 shots per game, while Vasco da Gama takes 17.9.

First-half and second-half trends

São Paulo leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Vasco da Gama leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

São Paulo's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Vasco da Gama, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.45)
(3.32)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

São PauloVasco da Gama
1.17Goals scored / game1.24
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.17Goals allowed / game1.45
São PauloVasco da Gama
54%Average possession54%
São PauloVasco da Gama
4.2Shots on target / game5.45
São PauloVasco da Gama

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.63Shots per game17.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
4.2Shots on target5.45
São PauloVasco da Gama
8.6%Shot conversion6.9%
São PauloVasco da Gama
54%Possession54%
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.5xG for1.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.3xG against1.27
São PauloVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

São Paulo: BalancedVasco da Gama: Attacking
São PauloVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Vasco da Gama is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - São Paulo · 2 pts / game - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo
LWLLW
Season result split
37% W20% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-13
1.30 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Vasco da Gama
LWWWD
Season result split
31% W28% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-12
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 6% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - São Paulo · 1.24 goals / game - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - São Paulo · 1.45 goals / game - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo scoring profile: very strong

São Paulo scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 games), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: very strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 games).

35Goals scored (season)36
São PauloVasco da Gama
35Goals conceded (season)42
São PauloVasco da Gama
2.33Average goals per game2.69
São PauloVasco da Gama
4Goals scored (last 5)9
São PauloVasco da Gama
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
São PauloVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal69%
São PauloVasco da Gama
33%2 goals34%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%3 goals14%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%4 goals3%
São PauloVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal86%
São PauloVasco da Gama
33%2 goals34%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%3 goals17%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%4 goals7%
São PauloVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%BTTS in both halves0%
São PauloVasco da Gama
17%Scored in both halves10%
São PauloVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
São PauloVasco da Gama
40%BTTS - last 540%
São PauloVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
São PauloVasco da Gama
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
São PauloVasco da Gama

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
São PauloVasco da Gama
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
São PauloVasco da Gama
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
São PauloVasco da Gama

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

São Paulo is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / game - São Paulo · 1 pts / game - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per game (1st half)1
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.34
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
60%Clean sheet before half-time48%
São PauloVasco da Gama
57%No goal before half-time72%
São PauloVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.28
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.79
São PauloVasco da Gama
43%Clean sheet after half-time41%
São PauloVasco da Gama
50%No goal after half-time48%
São PauloVasco da Gama

São Paulo - second-half results

40% W13% D47% L
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
29
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

São Paulo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasco da Gama - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
12
46-60
10
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
6
8
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

São PauloLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals per game▼ 2.332.67• 2.69
Both teams scored▼ 57%60%▲ 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%52%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%75%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%79%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from São Paulo's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Vasco da Gama. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Vasco da Gama
2 : 1
São Paulo
CR Vasco da Gama
0 : 2
São Paulo FC
São Paulo FC
1 : 3
CR Vasco da Gama

FAQ

When do São Paulo and Vasco da Gama play?

São Paulo face Vasco da Gama on October 18, 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Vasco da Gama?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

São Paulo score 1.17 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of São Paulo's matches and 62% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are São Paulo and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

The statistical background for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.