Sarasota Paradise vs Alta: match statistics
Sarasota Paradise vs Alta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarasota Paradise play Alta in USL League One (United States). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Alta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Alta scores 1.44 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Alta 61%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Alta 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Alta has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.43. Sarasota Paradise: 12.2 shots per match, Alta: 13.1.
Match halves
Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Alta: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). Alta: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Sarasota Paradise averages 1.17 goals scored at home with an xG of 1.54 from 14.17 shots per match (4.17 on target), while Alta away averages 1.00 goal and xG 1.41 from 13 shots (4.0 on target). The key advantage for the hosts is defensive: Sarasota concedes 1.5 goals at home on average, whereas Alta concedes as many as 3.0 goals away with an average xG against of 2.01, indicating significant vulnerability on the road. In the last five matches Sarasota scored 4 and conceded 12, while Alta scored 7 and conceded 10; the hosts average 0.6 points per match in this period and the visitors 0.8 points, so both teams are in poor form results-wise, although Alta is slightly more effective in scoring. Additionally, Alta has 0% clean sheets away and 0% matches without scoring away, whereas Sarasota has 17% home matches without scoring, suggesting the visitors regularly score but also regularly concede. Considering Sarasota’s advantage in quality of chances (xG 1.54 vs 1.41), higher shot volume and Alta’s defensive weakness away, I assess a 55% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Alta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alta is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.44 goals / match - Alta
Alta is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.17 goals / match - Alta
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Alta keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Alta scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under — Alta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alta is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.28 pts / match - Alta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarasota Paradise
Alta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Alta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sarasota Paradise 0 - 0 - 1 Alta. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Alta?
The USL League One match finished Sarasota Paradise 1:2 Alta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Alta?
Sarasota Paradise score 0.94 goals per game on average and Alta 1.44. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 61% of Alta's.
What form are Sarasota Paradise and Alta in?
Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Alta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Alta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.