Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine: match statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors are in 3rd place in the table with a record of 1 win and 1 draw without defeat away, while Sarasota Paradise is in 14th position and has not won any home match this season (0% Win%). Portland has a positive goal difference away (+2) and a 50% Clean Sheets rate, which contrasts with the hosts, who have not kept a single clean sheet at home. The visitors' average of 1.5 goals scored away exceeds the hosts' 1.0 goal at home, and Portland's shot conversion rate (27%) is significantly higher than Sarasota's (6%). The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), making a Portland victory the most likely scenario for this fixture.
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarasota Paradise play Portland Hearts of Pine in USL League One (United States). The match date is 29 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Portland Hearts of Pine: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.53 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Portland Hearts of Pine 76%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Portland Hearts of Pine 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Portland Hearts of Pine has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.43. Sarasota Paradise: 12.2 shots per match, Portland Hearts of Pine: 11.9.
Match halves
Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). Portland Hearts of Pine: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Portland Hearts of Pine displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors are in 3rd place in the table with a record of 1 win and 1 draw without defeat away, while Sarasota Paradise is in 14th position and has not won any home match this season (0% Win%). Portland has a positive goal difference away (+2) and a 50% Clean Sheets rate, which contrasts with the hosts, who have not kept a single clean sheet at home. The visitors' average of 1.5 goals scored away exceeds the hosts' 1.0 goal at home, and Portland's shot conversion rate (27%) is significantly higher than Sarasota's (6%). The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), making a Portland victory the most likely scenario for this fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.2 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.53 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Sarasota Paradise is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.65 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under — Portland Hearts of Pine
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.12 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarasota Paradise
Portland Hearts of Pine
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.86 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The USL League One match finished Sarasota Paradise 1:0 Portland Hearts of Pine. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Sarasota Paradise score 0.94 goals per game on average and Portland Hearts of Pine 1.53. The USL League One average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 76% of Portland Hearts of Pine's.
What form are Sarasota Paradise and Portland Hearts of Pine in?
Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Portland Hearts of Pine 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The statistical background for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.