United States - USL League OneData current as of September 03, 2026

Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sarasota Paradise plays Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026.

Recent form

Sarasota Paradise has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Spokane Velocity has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Sarasota Paradise scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.64. Spokane Velocity scores 1.52 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Sarasota Paradise's games and 52% of Spokane Velocity's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sarasota Paradise has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.45 per game. Sarasota Paradise takes 12.9 shots per game, while Spokane Velocity takes 12.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Spokane Velocity leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sarasota Paradise's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Spokane Velocity, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL League One games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.05Goals scored / game1.52
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.64Goals allowed / game1.29
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
49%Average possession52%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
4.09Shots on target / game3.9
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.91Shots per game12.1
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
4.09Shots on target3.9
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
8.1%Shot conversion12.6%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
49%Possession52%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.49xG for1.45
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.42xG against1.36
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

Shooting quality

Sarasota Paradise: BalancedSpokane Velocity: Balanced
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Spokane Velocity is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise · 2.4 pts / game - Spokane Velocity

Sarasota Paradise
DLLWD
Season result split
27% W18% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-12
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Spokane Velocity
WWLWW
Season result split
57% W10% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-7
1.81 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Spokane Velocity is 45% better for: goals scored per game.

1.05 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.52 goals / game - Spokane Velocity

Spokane Velocity is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.64 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.29 goals / game - Spokane Velocity

Sarasota Paradise scoring profile: very strong

Sarasota Paradise scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

Spokane Velocity scoring profile: very strong

Spokane Velocity scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)32
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
36Goals conceded (season)27
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
2.68Average goals per game2.81
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal71%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
27%2 goals52%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
5%3 goals29%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0%4 goals0%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal76%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
55%2 goals24%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
23%3 goals19%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
9%4 goals10%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
Sarasota Paradise - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 22 meczów
52%
Spokane Velocity - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 21 meczów
59%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time19%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
9%Scored in both halves29%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
80%BTTS - last 580%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Spokane Velocity is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.62 pts / game - Spokane Velocity

Sarasota Paradise - half-time state
18% leading55% draw27% trailing
Spokane Velocity - half-time state
43% leading33% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per game (1st half)1.62
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.81
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.43
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
64%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
68%No goal before half-time48%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per game (2nd half)1.33
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
32%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity
50%No goal after half-time52%
Sarasota ParadiseSpokane Velocity

Sarasota Paradise - second-half results

23% W27% R50% P
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Spokane Velocity - second-half results

38% W19% R43% P
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sarasota Paradise - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Spokane Velocity - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game1.01.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sarasota Paradise
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
4
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Spokane Velocity
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
7
1
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
2
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sarasota Paradise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Spokane Velocity

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Sarasota ParadiseLigaSpokane Velocity
Average goals per game 2.682.96 2.81
Both teams scored 59%59% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%61% 67%
Clean sheets 23%23% 24%
Goal before half-time 50%73% 76%
Goal after half-time 86%81% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sarasota Paradise's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Spokane Velocity. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Sarasota Paradise and Spokane Velocity play?

Sarasota Paradise face Spokane Velocity on September 5, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?

Sarasota Paradise score 1.05 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.52. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 52% of Spokane Velocity's.

What form are Sarasota Paradise and Spokane Velocity in?

Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.