Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sarasota Paradise played against Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sarasota Paradise has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Spokane Velocity has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Sarasota Paradise scores 1.09 goals per game and allows 1.61. Spokane Velocity scores 1.52 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Sarasota Paradise's games and 52% of Spokane Velocity's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sarasota Paradise has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.45 per game. Sarasota Paradise takes 12.6 shots per game, while Spokane Velocity takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Spokane Velocity leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sarasota Paradise's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Spokane Velocity, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarasota Paradise have a clearly weaker overall season record, with 6 wins and 36 goals conceded in 22 matches, but they perform significantly better at home: they win 50% of their fixtures and average 1.5 goals per game. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.59 xG, register 13.9 shots and 5 shots on target per match, while Spokane generate only 1.40 xG and 0.88 goals away from home. Spokane sit 5th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but their away form remains a concern: they have lost 50% of their away fixtures and failed to score in 50% of them. Sarasota’s defense also does not provide complete security, conceding an average of 1.4 goals at home and allowing as many as 13 goals across their last five matches overall. Despite the visitors’ better recent run, the hosts’ advantage in chance creation and Spokane’s poor finishing away from home slightly favor a Sarasota win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is particularly clear from the teams’ current form: Sarasota saw both teams score in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Spokane did so in as many as 100%. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game, with an xG against them of 1.87, significantly increasing Spokane’s chances, as the visitors scored an average of 2.2 goals. Sarasota score an average of 1.92 goals at home, while Spokane allow opponents 1.50 goals per game away from home and keep a clean sheet in only 25% of matches. The visitors do have a low season BTTS rate of 38% and failed to score in 50% of matches, but their recent run and Sarasota’s defensive struggles are stronger arguments in favor of a goal for both teams. In addition, the average xG of both teams across their last five appearances stands at 1.62 and 1.37, respectively, supporting a scenario with goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sarasota Paradise score an average of 1.92 goals at home, while Spokane Velocity concede 1.50 goals per away match, giving the hosts a solid basis to find the net. The visitors are in very good attacking form, averaging 2.2 goals scored across their last five matches, while Sarasota conceded as many as 2.6 goals over the same period. Both teams had at least three goals in 80% of their last five matches, while the league average stands at a high 2.96 goals. At the same time, the Over 1.5 goals line is safer than higher thresholds: on a season-long basis, both teams have cleared it in 75-77% of matches. The projected total of 3.05 goals clearly favors an Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Spokane Velocity leading at the break and holding on to win, as the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Sarasota have won only 1 and suffered 3 defeats. In this run, Spokane have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, whereas the hosts have managed just 1.2 goals and conceded as many as 2.6. Spokane were ahead at half-time in 60% of their last five matches, while Sarasota were trailing after the first half in 40%; the corresponding scoring averages over this period are 1.2 goals scored by Spokane and 1.4 conceded by the hosts. In addition, Sarasota have scored only 0.4 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, limiting the likelihood of a turnaround if they fall behind, despite their significantly better home-season results.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Spokane Velocity is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise · 2.4 pts / game - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spokane Velocity is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.09 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.52 goals / game - Spokane Velocity
Spokane Velocity is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.61 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.29 goals / game - Spokane Velocity
Sarasota Paradise scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 games), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 games).
Spokane Velocity scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 games), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise · 1.62 pts / game - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sarasota Paradise
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.70 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sarasota Paradise's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Spokane Velocity. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?
The USL League One match finished Sarasota Paradise 1:1 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?
Sarasota Paradise score 1.09 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.52. The USL League One average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 52% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are Sarasota Paradise and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.