Sarmiento vs Rosario Central: match statistics
Sarmiento vs Rosario Central: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sarmiento played against Rosario Central in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Sarmiento has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Rosario Central has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Sarmiento scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.37. Rosario Central scores 1.42 and allows 0.91. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Sarmiento's games and 58% of Rosario Central's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rosario Central has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.24 per game. Sarmiento takes 10.6 shots per game, while Rosario Central takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Sarmiento leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Rosario Central leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sarmiento's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Rosario Central, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rosario Central hold a slight edge based on current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4, while Sarmiento have won just once, scoring 6 and conceding 8. The visitors also have the better record over the full season, with 18 wins and 7 losses compared with the hosts’ 12 wins and 14 losses. However, this remains a closely matched contest: Sarmiento win 53% of their home matches and concede an average of 0.87 goals, while Rosario win 50% of their away matches and score an average of 1.25 goals on the road. The quality of chances created is almost identical, with an average xG of 1.37 for the hosts at home and 1.33 for the visitors away, so Rosario’s selection is driven primarily by their considerably stronger recent run.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 59% of Sarmiento’s matches and 56% of Rosario Central’s, both above the league average of 47%. The hosts average 1.59 goals from an xG of 1.90, while the visitors average 1.25 goals from an xG of 1.33, giving both teams a solid basis to find the net. Rosario’s recent form also supports a goal for the visitors: they averaged 2.2 goals across their last five matches, while Sarmiento conceded 1.6. The bet carries some added risk, however, as Rosario kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 matches; across the season, they failed to score in 19% of games, compared with 18% for Sarmiento. Overall, the data points to BTTS - Yes, although the case for this outcome is not decisive.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 88% of Sarmiento’s matches and 81% of Rosario Central’s. Although Rosario averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches and Sarmiento conceded 1.6, both teams went Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their matches during that period. The hosts’ attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 1.90, but their actual average of 1.59 goals scored, alongside the visitors’ 1.25, points to a moderate total rather than a goal fest. The forecast of 2.40 total goals supports backing Under 3.5, which offers more margin than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility: Sarmiento were level at the break in 41% of their matches, compared with 38% for Rosario Central, while their average first-half goals scored was almost identical — 0.53 versus 0.56. Although the hosts have better overall season statistics, they have won only 20% of their last five matches, whereas the visitors have won 60%. The clearest difference comes in the second halves of their most recent available matches: Rosario averaged 1.75 goals scored and conceded none, while Sarmiento scored 0.4 and conceded 1.0. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by an away win is the scenario best supported by current form, although Sarmiento’s season-long advantage tempers confidence in this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sarmiento | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rosario Central is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Sarmiento · 2.6 pts / game - Rosario Central
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rosario Central is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Sarmiento · 1.42 goals / game - Rosario Central
Rosario Central is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - Sarmiento · 0.91 goals / game - Rosario Central
Sarmiento scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 games), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 games).
Rosario Central scores in 82% of games (27 of 33 games), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarmiento
Over / Under - Rosario Central
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Sarmiento · 1.48 pts / game - Rosario Central
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rosario Central - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sarmiento
Rosario Central
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sarmiento | Liga | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.53 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sarmiento's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Rosario Central. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
The Primera División match finished Sarmiento 1:2 Rosario Central. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento and Rosario Central?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0, Rosario Central won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
Sarmiento score 1.17 goals per game on average and Rosario Central 1.42. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sarmiento's matches and 58% of Rosario Central's.
What form are Sarmiento and Rosario Central in?
Over the last 5 games Sarmiento have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rosario Central 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarmiento vs Rosario Central?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.