Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking: match statistics
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sarpsborg 08 played against Viking in Eliteserien (Norway). The game was played on July 12, 2026. Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Sarpsborg 08 has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Viking has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.45. Viking scores 2.90 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Sarpsborg 08's games and 60% of Viking's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 80%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Viking has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.39 per game. Sarpsborg 08 takes 11.6 shots per game, while Viking takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Sarpsborg 08 leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.18 goals per game after halftime. Viking leads at halftime in 80% and scores 1.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sarpsborg 08's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Viking, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eliteserien games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Viking: the visitors have a road record of 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss (win% 80) and 5 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 15 goals (3.0 per match). Sarpsborg at home are 4–2–5, average 1.2 goals scored per match and have recorded no clean sheets at home (CS% 0%), and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 games (2.0 per match), indicating defensive issues. Viking create better offensive chances – average away xG 1.68 versus the home side’s xG 1.38, more shots (14.8 vs 11.8) and higher possession (56% vs 44%), translating into higher attacking quality. Additionally, the visitors concede on average 0.8 goals away, have 40% clean sheets and have not had an away match without scoring (FTS 0%), while Sarpsborg at home concede 1.0 goal per match and have 20% of games without scoring (FTS 20%). Based on this I predict a Viking win; estimated probabilities are 65% for the visitors, 20% for a draw and 15% for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 60% (Sarpsborg 60%, Viking 60%) versus 56% for the league, which broadly favors a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Sarpsborg has BTTS 80% and averages 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded (8 for, 10 against), while Viking has BTTS 60% and in L5 scored 15 and conceded 5 (avg 3.0 scored, 1.0 conceded), increasing the likelihood of the visitors scoring. xG confirms the offensive nature of both sides: Sarpsborg generates 1.88 xG, Viking 1.68 xG, and their xG against is 1.14 and 1.10 respectively, so both teams allow roughly >1.1 xG to opponents. Sarpsborg averages 7.2 shots on target from 16.0 attempts with a 26% conversion, Viking 4.4 on target from 14.8 attempts with an 11% conversion, and both teams have only 40% of matches with a clean sheet expected, which supports goal exchanges. Considering the 60% season BTTS for both, 80% L5 for the home side, Viking’s strong form (5 wins and 15 goals in 5 matches) and xG >1.6 for both, I assess BTTS - Yes at 70% versus 30% for No as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields expected goals: home ~1.49 xG (home attack 1.88 xG and opponent defense 1.10 xG), away ~1.41 xG (away attack 1.68 xG and home defense 1.14 xG), total ~2.90. This season Sarpsborg has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and Viking 80%, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5; similarly Over 2.5 occurred in 100% of home matches and 60% of Viking’s matches, so Over 2.5 is also likely. Sarpsborg averages 7.2 shots on target per match versus Viking’s 4.4 and has a high conversion rate of 26% (vs 11% for Viking), suggesting the home xG is likely to convert into actual goals. In the last 5 matches Viking scored 15 goals (3.0 average), Sarpsborg 8 goals (1.6 average), and the league average is 2.94 goals per match — our 2.90 is therefore consistent with both teams’ form. For these reasons I recommend wagering on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (I estimate Over 1.5 at ~95%), Over 2.5 has a lower but still significant probability (~80%), while Under 3.5 is more likely than Over 3.5 (68% vs 32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sarpsborg is the favorite based on the data: the home side’s seasonal average goals scored is 4.2 versus 1.6 for Viking and xG is 1.88 versus 1.68, with 7.2 shots on target vs 4.4 and a conversion rate of 26% vs 11%. At half-time the home team averages 2.2 goals compared to 1.0 for the away side and lead at the break in 80% of matches (scoredAVGHT_home 2.2 vs scoredAVGHT_away 1.0; leadingAtHTPercentage_home 80%), so I expect Sarpsborg to be leading after 45 minutes. In the second half the hosts also dominate: Sarpsborg’s average goals in the 2nd half is 2.0 versus 0.6 for Viking and they win second halves in 80% of cases (scored_2hg_avg_home 2.0 vs scored_2hg_avg_away 0.6; wins_2hg_percentage_home 80%), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the victory. Although Viking have a run of 5 wins (form_l5_away = 'wwwww' and last5_winPercentage_overall_away 100%), their lower efficiency (11% vs 26%) and fewer shots on target limit their chances of a turnaround; therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (48%) and recommend this HT/FT pick as the best.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sarpsborg 08 | Viking | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Viking is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Sarpsborg 08 · 3 pts / game - Viking
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viking is 146% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Sarpsborg 08 · 2.9 goals / game - Viking
Viking is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.45 goals / game - Sarpsborg 08 · 1 goals / game - Viking
Sarpsborg 08 scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Viking keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 meczów).
Viking scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 meczów), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarpsborg 08
Over / Under - Viking
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Viking is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Sarpsborg 08 · 2.4 pts / game - Viking
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Viking - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 90%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Sarpsborg 08 | Liga | Viking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.64 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sarpsborg 08's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Viking. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
The Eliteserien match finished Sarpsborg 08 1:0 Viking. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Viking?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 08 won 0, Viking won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
Sarpsborg 08 score 1.18 goals per game on average and Viking 2.90. The Eliteserien average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 60% of Viking's.
What form are Sarpsborg 08 and Viking in?
Over the last 5 games Sarpsborg 08 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Viking 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.