Sassuolo vs AC Milan: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sassuolo plays AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 11, 2026. Venue: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Recent form
Sassuolo has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. AC Milan has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sassuolo scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.80. AC Milan scores 2.00 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Sassuolo's games and 60% of AC Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 60%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sassuolo has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.42 per game. Sassuolo takes 17.2 shots per game, while AC Milan takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Sassuolo leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.40 goals per game after halftime. AC Milan leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sassuolo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For AC Milan, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sassuolo | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sassuolo · 2.2 pts / game - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Sassuolo · 2 goals / game - AC Milan
AC Milan is 125% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - Sassuolo · 0.8 goals / game - AC Milan
Sassuolo scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
AC Milan scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Sassuolo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sassuolo
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sassuolo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sassuolo
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Sassuolo | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.60 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sassuolo's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against AC Milan. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Sassuolo and AC Milan play?
Sassuolo face AC Milan on October 11, 2026 in Serie A at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and AC Milan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1, AC Milan won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Sassuolo score 1.80 goals per game on average and AC Milan 2.00. The Serie A average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Sassuolo's matches and 60% of AC Milan's.
What form are Sassuolo and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Sassuolo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AC Milan 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The statistical background for Sassuolo vs AC Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.