SC Villa vs Mbarara City: match statistics
SC Villa presents decidedly better form and position in the table (4th place) compared to Mbarara City (14th place). The hosts can boast an impressive home record – 83% won matches at home, with just 0% losses and an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per match. Additionally, SC Villa maintains 50% clean sheets in home matches, which testifies to a solid defense. Mbarara City, on the other hand, presents very poor away form – only 17% wins and as much as 50% losses, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match away. Given the goal difference (+7 for the hosts in home matches vs -5 for the guests away) and the recent form of both teams, SC Villa is the decided favorite of this meeting. The xG statistics also favor the hosts, who create more chances in home matches (1.44 xG) than they concede (1.43 xG), while Mbarara City generates only 1.37 xG away while conceding 2.04 xG.
SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
SC Villa played against Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 28, 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Recent form
SC Villa has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mbarara City has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
SC Villa scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.69. Mbarara City scores 0.85 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of SC Villa's games and 62% of Mbarara City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 31%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mbarara City has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.31 per game. SC Villa takes 8.2 shots per game, while Mbarara City takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
SC Villa leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Mbarara City leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
SC Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Mbarara City, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SC Villa presents decidedly better form and position in the table (4th place) compared to Mbarara City (14th place). The hosts can boast an impressive home record – 83% won matches at home, with just 0% losses and an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per match. Additionally, SC Villa maintains 50% clean sheets in home matches, which testifies to a solid defense. Mbarara City, on the other hand, presents very poor away form – only 17% wins and as much as 50% losses, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match away. Given the goal difference (+7 for the hosts in home matches vs -5 for the guests away) and the recent form of both teams, SC Villa is the decided favorite of this meeting. The xG statistics also favor the hosts, who create more chances in home matches (1.44 xG) than they concede (1.43 xG), while Mbarara City generates only 1.37 xG away while conceding 2.04 xG.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| SC Villa | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
SC Villa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - SC Villa · 1.2 pts / game - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 62% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - SC Villa · 0.85 goals / game - Mbarara City
SC Villa is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.69 goals / game - SC Villa · 1.38 goals / game - Mbarara City
SC Villa scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 games), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 games).
Mbarara City scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SC Villa
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SC Villa is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - SC Villa · 0.85 pts / game - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
SC Villa
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| SC Villa | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.08 | 2.28 | • 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 34% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SC VillaGoalFrank Ssebuufu
- SC VillaGoalNajib Yiga
FAQ
What was the result of SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished SC Villa 6:1 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa score 1.38 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.85. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 46% of SC Villa's matches and 62% of Mbarara City's.
What form are SC Villa and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.