Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Schalke 04 plays Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Veltins-Arena.
Recent form
Schalke 04 has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Mainz 05 has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Schalke 04 scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 1.20. Mainz 05 scores 2.60 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Schalke 04's games and 60% of Mainz 05's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mainz 05 has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.17 per game. Schalke 04 takes 10.4 shots per game, while Mainz 05 takes 19.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Schalke 04 leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Schalke 04's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Mainz 05, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.82 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mainz 05 is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Schalke 04 · 1.4 pts / game - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 225% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Schalke 04 · 2.6 goals / game - Mainz 05
Schalke 04 is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Schalke 04 · 2 goals / game - Mainz 05
Schalke 04 scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
Mainz 05 scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Schalke 04
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Schalke 04 · 1.6 pts / game - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Schalke 04
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Schalke 04 | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 3.82 | ▲ 4.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 60% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 87% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 89% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 play?
Schalke 04 face Mainz 05 on October 17, 2026 in Bundesliga at Veltins-Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
Schalke 04 score 0.80 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 2.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Schalke 04's matches and 60% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Schalke 04 have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mainz 05 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.