Septemvri Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
Arda is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 1.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Septemvri Sofia. The hosts are in 14th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 17 losses this season, conceding as many as 53 goals. Septemvri Sofia have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 9. Arda shows solid defensive performances away from home with 46% clean sheets and an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, and their form (dwdlw) suggests stabilization. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference on the road (+1) compared to the hosts' negative home difference (-8), which, combined with Septemvri's high home loss rate (58%), supports an Arda victory.
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Septemvri Sofia played against Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Septemvri Sofia has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Arda has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 2.04. Arda scores 1.00 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Septemvri Sofia's games and 23% of Arda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 31%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arda has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.13 per game. Septemvri Sofia takes 8.6 shots per game, while Arda takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Septemvri Sofia leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Arda leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Septemvri Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Arda, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arda is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, earning 1.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Septemvri Sofia. The hosts are in 14th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 17 losses this season, conceding as many as 53 goals. Septemvri Sofia have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 9. Arda shows solid defensive performances away from home with 46% clean sheets and an average of just 1 goal conceded per match, and their form (dwdlw) suggests stabilization. Additionally, the visitors have a positive goal difference on the road (+1) compared to the hosts' negative home difference (-8), which, combined with Septemvri's high home loss rate (58%), supports an Arda victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arda is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.6 pts / game - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1 goals / game - Arda
Arda is 122% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.04 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia · 0.92 goals / game - Arda
Septemvri Sofia scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).
Arda scores in 50% of games (13 of 26 meczów), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.31 pts / game - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Septemvri Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.88 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 43% | ▼ 23% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 35% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Septemvri Sofia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Arda. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 1:4 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.85 goals per game on average and Arda 1.00. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 23% of Arda's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Arda 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.