Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
CSKA Sofia presents significantly better form and statistics in this matchup. The visitors sit in 3rd place with 11 wins, while Septemvri Sofia occupies the 15th position with only 5 victories this season. Form over the last five matches clearly favors CSKA – 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match) compared to just 1 win for the hosts (0.8 points per match). Septemvri suffers a 60% loss rate at home and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match, whereas CSKA shows solid away defense (0.82 goals conceded on average) and 36% clean sheets. Higher xG values (1.78 vs 1.19) and an advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) further confirm the visitors' superiority. Given the goal difference (-7 for the hosts, +4 for the visitors) and current disposition of both teams, a CSKA Sofia victory is the most likely scenario.
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Septemvri Sofia played against CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Septemvri Sofia has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. CSKA Sofia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 2.10. CSKA Sofia scores 1.50 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Septemvri Sofia's games and 50% of CSKA Sofia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CSKA Sofia has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.15 per game. Septemvri Sofia takes 9.1 shots per game, while CSKA Sofia takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Septemvri Sofia leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. CSKA Sofia leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Septemvri Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For CSKA Sofia, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia presents significantly better form and statistics in this matchup. The visitors sit in 3rd place with 11 wins, while Septemvri Sofia occupies the 15th position with only 5 victories this season. Form over the last five matches clearly favors CSKA – 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per match) compared to just 1 win for the hosts (0.8 points per match). Septemvri suffers a 60% loss rate at home and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match, whereas CSKA shows solid away defense (0.82 goals conceded on average) and 36% clean sheets. Higher xG values (1.78 vs 1.19) and an advantage in possession (56% vs 50%) further confirm the visitors' superiority. Given the goal difference (-7 for the hosts, +4 for the visitors) and current disposition of both teams, a CSKA Sofia victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CSKA Sofia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 2.4 pts / game - CSKA Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.5 goals / game - CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia is 173% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.1 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia · 0.77 goals / game - CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
CSKA Sofia scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.64 pts / game - CSKA Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.32 | • 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Septemvri Sofia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against CSKA Sofia. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 2:0 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.95 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 1.50. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 50% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The statistical background for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.