Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Septemvri Sofia play Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 14 May 2026 at 14:15. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Spartak Varna: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.86 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Septemvri Sofia 49%, Spartak Varna 54%. Over 2.5: Septemvri Sofia 49%, Spartak Varna 49%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Septemvri Sofia has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.17. Septemvri Sofia: 8.9 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 9.3.
Match halves
Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.49. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (8 goals). Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Septemvri Sofia holds a clear offensive edge at home: on average 0.94 goals scored per game, 3 shots on target and xG 1.22, whereas Spartak Varna away registers only 0.5 goals, 1.75 shots on target and xG 0.91. The hosts also convert chances more often — home conversion rate around 11% versus 7% for the visitors — and average 8.75 shots per match versus Spartak’s 6.81, translating into a higher volume of scoring opportunities. Defensively the picture is mixed: Spartak concedes 1.44 goals on average away but allows as much as 2.18 xG against, while Septemvri at home concedes 1.63 goals with xG against 1.6, suggesting the visitors are more prone to creating clear chances. Form over the last 5 matches points more towards draws than one-sided results: Septemvri are 0-4-1 (0.8 points per game) and Spartak 1-2-2 (1.0 point per game); additionally, the visitors fail to score in 56% of away matches versus 31% for the hosts. Considering the hosts’ superior chance creation, the visitors’ markedly poorer away efficiency and Spartak’s high draw rate on the road, I assign Septemvri a 55% probability of a home win, 30% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spartak Varna is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 2 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spartak Varna is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 0.95 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.54 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia scores in 65% of matches (24 of 37 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under — Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spartak Varna is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia · 1.16 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.49 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 49% | 43% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 49% | 43% | ▲ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Septemvri Sofia 1 - 1 - 0 Spartak Varna. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 1:0 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 1, Spartak Varna won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.86 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 54% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Spartak Varna 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.