Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Septemvri Sofia played against Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on May 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Septemvri Sofia has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Spartak Varna has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Septemvri Sofia scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.85. Spartak Varna scores 0.88 and allows 1.65. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Septemvri Sofia's games and 59% of Spartak Varna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Septemvri Sofia has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.10 per game. Septemvri Sofia takes 8.8 shots per game, while Spartak Varna takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Septemvri Sofia leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Spartak Varna leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Septemvri Sofia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Spartak Varna, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Septemvri Sofia holds a clear offensive edge at home: on average 0.94 goals scored per game, 3 shots on target and xG 1.22, whereas Spartak Varna away registers only 0.5 goals, 1.75 shots on target and xG 0.91. The hosts also convert chances more often — home conversion rate around 11% versus 7% for the visitors — and average 8.75 shots per match versus Spartak’s 6.81, translating into a higher volume of scoring opportunities. Defensively the picture is mixed: Spartak concedes 1.44 goals on average away but allows as much as 2.18 xG against, while Septemvri at home concedes 1.63 goals with xG against 1.6, suggesting the visitors are more prone to creating clear chances. Form over the last 5 matches points more towards draws than one-sided results: Septemvri are 0-4-1 (0.8 points per game) and Spartak 1-2-2 (1.0 point per game); additionally, the visitors fail to score in 56% of away matches versus 31% for the hosts. Considering the hosts’ superior chance creation, the visitors’ markedly poorer away efficiency and Spartak’s high draw rate on the road, I assign Septemvri a 55% probability of a home win, 30% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I prefer BTTS - Yes — the home team has a seasonal both-teams-to-score rate of 72%, and both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. Home side average goals 1.22 per match with xG 1.27 and 3.89 shots on target, while the away team’s seasonal goals average is 0.50 with xG 0.91, but in the last 5 matches the away team has xG 1.31 and scored 5 goals. Both units defend poorly — home concede 1.83 goals per season, away 1.44, and in the last 5 matches they conceded on average 1.0 and 1.2 goals respectively, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Counterweight: the away side failed to score in 56% of season matches and have a low shot conversion rate of 7%, but the recent 80% BTTS trend for both teams and combined recent xG around 2.52 favor Yes. Accordingly, I assess BTTS chances at approximately 68% for Yes and 32% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of approximately 3.09 goals (1.73 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.36 for Spartak Varna), based on xG: 1.27 for the home side and 0.91 for the away side, and xG against: 1.81 for Septemvri and 2.18 for Spartak. Season rates of matches over 1.5 goals are 83% for the home team and 69% for the away team, which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5 (estimated probability 78%). Over 2.5 looks moderately likely: the home team has 67% of matches over 2.5 this season, the away team 31%, and in the last 5 matches those rates were 20% and 60% respectively, yielding an estimated 53% chance for Over 2.5. Additionally, the home side averages 10.17 shots and 3.89 shots on target with a 12% conversion rate, versus 6.81 shots, 1.75 on target and a 7% conversion for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of multiple goals. For these reasons the best line to play is Over 1.5 (side: over) as the most reliable signal, based on the 83% and 69% seasonal over-1.5 rates and the projected total of 3.09.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side holds a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.27 versus 0.91 for the visitors and on average 3.89 shots on target compared to 1.75, translating to a season scoring average of 1.22 goals for hosts vs 0.50 for guests. At half-time the hosts led in 6 matches (33%) while the visitors led in only 2 (13%), and hosts score on average 0.50 goals by the break vs 0.13 for the away team — this supports a host lead at the break. Full-Time also favors the home team: they win 28% of matches versus 6% for the visitors, and home matches are characterized by a high frequency of both-teams-to-score (BTTS 72%) and a combined average of 3.06 goals, so I expect goals after the break as well. At the same time, the hosts’ last 5 matches produced no leads at the break (0% in the last 5), whereas the visitors had a 40% rate of leading at the break in their last 5 fixtures, which increases the chance of a draw at half-time and lowers the confidence of the projection. As a result, the strongest signal is 1/1 (hosts leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time), hence the highest probability is assigned to that scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Septemvri Sofia | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Spartak Varna is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1 pts / game - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spartak Varna is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.85 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.65 goals / game - Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 meczów), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).
Spartak Varna scores in 68% of games (23 of 34 meczów), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spartak Varna is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia · 1.09 pts / game - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Septemvri Sofia | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Septemvri Sofia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Spartak Varna. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Septemvri Sofia 1:0 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 1, Spartak Varna won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia score 0.85 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.88. The First League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Septemvri Sofia's matches and 59% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Septemvri Sofia have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Spartak Varna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.