Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Sevilla is in 13th place in the table and shows unstable form at home, winning only 31% of their home matches with a 46% loss rate. Rayo Vallecano occupies the 12th position, but they perform even worse in away games, with just a 23% win rate and as many as 62% losses on the road. A key factor is Rayo's poor attacking efficiency away from home (54% of matches without a scored goal, averaging 0.85 goals) and their -11 goal difference in away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is similar (Sevilla: 1.2 PPG, Rayo: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering the poor efficiency of both sides and their struggles in scoring, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Sevilla a minimally higher chance of victory.
Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sevilla FC played against Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sevilla FC has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Rayo Vallecano has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Sevilla FC scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.58. Rayo Vallecano scores 1.00 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Sevilla FC's games and 42% of Rayo Vallecano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rayo Vallecano has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.32 per game. Sevilla FC takes 11.3 shots per game, while Rayo Vallecano takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Sevilla FC leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sevilla FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Rayo Vallecano, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
La Liga games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams in poor form. Sevilla is in 13th place in the table and shows unstable form at home, winning only 31% of their home matches with a 46% loss rate. Rayo Vallecano occupies the 12th position, but they perform even worse in away games, with just a 23% win rate and as many as 62% losses on the road. A key factor is Rayo's poor attacking efficiency away from home (54% of matches without a scored goal, averaging 0.85 goals) and their -11 goal difference in away fixtures. The recent form of both teams is similar (Sevilla: 1.2 PPG, Rayo: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting the possibility of a draw. Considering the poor efficiency of both sides and their struggles in scoring, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Sevilla a minimally higher chance of victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sevilla FC | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rayo Vallecano is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Sevilla FC · 1.6 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sevilla FC is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Sevilla FC · 1 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Sevilla FC · 1.23 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla FC scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Sevilla FC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sevilla FC
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Sevilla FC · 1.31 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sevilla FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sevilla FC
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Sevilla FC | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.88 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sevilla FC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Rayo Vallecano. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished Sevilla FC 1:1 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla FC score 1.31 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 1.00. The La Liga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Sevilla FC's matches and 42% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games Sevilla FC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
The statistical background for Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.