Sevlievo vs Belasitsa: match statistics
Sevlievo vs Belasitsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sevlievo play Belasitsa in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sevlievo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Belasitsa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sevlievo scores 0.91 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Belasitsa scores 0.81 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sevlievo 41%, Belasitsa 44%. Over 2.5: Sevlievo 41%, Belasitsa 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Sevlievo has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.11. Sevlievo: 7.7 shots per match, Belasitsa: 8.6.
Match halves
Sevlievo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Belasitsa: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Sevlievo: 76-90+ (9 goals). Belasitsa: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back an away win (’2’) because Belasitsa shows markedly better form over the last five matches: 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 10 goals (2.0 per match) and averaging 1.2 points per game, whereas Sevlievo have lost all 5 recent matches, scoring only 2 and conceding 16 (3.2 per match). Sevlievo do have advantages in home-match metrics — average xG at home 1.3 versus 0.85 xG for Belasitsa away, and on average 9.29 shots and 5.36 shots on target per home match versus 7.5 and 4.0 for Belasitsa. Despite higher xG and greater control (possession 52% vs 41%), the home side convert poorly — only 0.57 goals per home match and fail to score in 57% of home games, while Belasitsa score 0.64 goals on the road and have better shot efficiency (9% vs 6%). Defensively both teams are vulnerable: Sevlievo conceded 45 goals this season (1.57 per home match), Belasitsa 54 (2.0 per away match), but the recent spike in Sevlievo’s concessions (16 in the last 5) suggests their defense is easier to break down. Considering Sevlievo’s zero points in five and Belasitsa’s improved efficiency and 1.2 points per match, I estimate probabilities: home 20%, draw 30%, away 50%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sevlievo | Belasitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 57% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sevlievo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sevlievo · 0.6 pts / match - Belasitsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sevlievo is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Sevlievo · 0.81 goals / match - Belasitsa
Sevlievo is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Sevlievo · 1.94 goals / match - Belasitsa
Sevlievo scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Belasitsa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
Belasitsa scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Sevlievo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sevlievo
Over / Under — Belasitsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sevlievo is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Sevlievo · 0.69 pts / match - Belasitsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sevlievo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Belasitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sevlievo
Belasitsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Sevlievo | Liga | Belasitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.53 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 70% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sevlievo 0 - 0 - 1 Belasitsa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sevlievo vs Belasitsa?
The Second League match finished Sevlievo 2:1 Belasitsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sevlievo vs Belasitsa?
Sevlievo score 0.91 goals per game on average and Belasitsa 0.81. The Second League average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sevlievo's matches and 44% of Belasitsa's.
What form are Sevlievo and Belasitsa in?
Over the last 5 games Sevlievo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Belasitsa 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sevlievo vs Belasitsa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.