Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: match statistics
Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sevlievo play Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in Second League (Bulgaria). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Rakovski. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sevlievo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sevlievo scores 0.91 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas scores 1.19 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sevlievo 41%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 44%. Over 2.5: Sevlievo 41%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 31%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.13. Sevlievo: 7.7 shots per match, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 9.6.
Match halves
Sevlievo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Sevlievo: 76-90+ (9 goals). Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 6th vs Sevlievo 16th and arrive in better form: in their last 5 matches Chernomorets have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game) while Sevlievo have 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 points per game). Defensively the visitors are clearly superior — Sevlievo have conceded 50 goals this season and 17 in the last 5 matches (3.4 per game), whereas Chernomorets have conceded 29 this season and only 5 in the last 5 (1.0 per game). Offensively Sevlievo have a serious finishing problem: the hosts score 0.67 goals at home on average with xG 1.29, meaning they underperform xG by 0.62 and their home conversion is only 7%, with 53% of matches without a goal. Chernomorets score 1.07 goals away with xG 1.21 and an 11% conversion, posting a similar number of shots (10 vs 9.4) and shots on target (5.43 vs 5.13), which suggests better chance conversion. Considering the visitors’ more stable defence (29 vs 50 conceded) and Sevlievo’s catastrophic 17 goals conceded in the last 5, I assess Chernomorets’ chances at 60%, draw 25% and the home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sevlievo | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 57% | 60% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sevlievo · 1.4 pts / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Sevlievo · 1.19 goals / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Sevlievo · 1 goals / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Sevlievo scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Sevlievo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sevlievo
Over / Under — Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Sevlievo · 1.56 pts / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sevlievo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 34%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sevlievo
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Sevlievo | Liga | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.53 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sevlievo 0 - 0 - 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The Second League match finished Sevlievo 3:2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Sevlievo score 0.91 goals per game on average and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.19. The Second League average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sevlievo's matches and 44% of Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's.
What form are Sevlievo and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in?
Over the last 5 games Sevlievo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The statistical background for Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


