Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia: match statistics
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shahrdari Noshahr played against Navad Urmia in Azadegan League (Iran). The game was played on June 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Shahrdari Noshahr has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Navad Urmia has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Shahrdari Noshahr scores 0.54 goals per game and allows 0.86. Navad Urmia scores 0.56 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 1.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Shahrdari Noshahr's games and 33% of Navad Urmia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 7% and 19%, compared with league averages of 30% for BTTS and 21% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Shahrdari Noshahr has the higher season xG average, 1.04 to 0.86 per game. Shahrdari Noshahr takes 3.1 shots per game, while Navad Urmia takes 1.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Shahrdari Noshahr leads at halftime in 4% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Navad Urmia leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shahrdari Noshahr's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Navad Urmia, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Azadegan League games average 1.51 goals. Both teams score in 30% of games, and 21% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Shahrdari Noshahr: at home they have an average xG of 1.38 and score 0.69 goals per match, while Navad Urmia away have xG 0.86 and score only 0.36 goals per match. Defensively the hosts are also superior — at home they concede 0.69 goals per match and record clean sheets in 46% of games, whereas the visitors concede 1.29 goals on average away and have only 14% clean sheets. The difference in chance quality is clear: the hosts average 9.29 shots and 4.29 on target per home match (conversion 9%), while Navad averages 6.75 shots and 2.25 on target away (conversion 4%). Risk factors include poor form for both teams over the last 5 matches — the hosts have not won in their last 5 (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 0.6 points per match) and conceded 4 goals, while the visitors have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 points per match) and conceded 10 goals in that period. Considering the season-long home advantage in xG, the number and quality of shots and better defense, I assign a 65% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess a 75% probability for No BTTS and 25% for BTTS — the “no” scenario is stronger. Both teams have low goals-per-game: home 0.77, away 0.36 (total 1.13), below the league average 1.51, and each has scored 15 goals this season. BTTS occurred in only 38% of home matches and 29% of away matches versus a league average of 28%; in the last 5 matches BTTS rate is 20% for the home side and 0% for the away side — a clear signal for No Goal. The home team has kept a clean sheet in 46% of games compared to 14% for the visitors, while the away team conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 goals in 5) and scored just 0.2 goals per game. Additionally, the away team averages 2.25 shots on target and 6.75 shots per game with a low conversion rate of 4%, and the home side shows 0.0 average shots in the data, all supporting the No BTTS (No Goal) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Shahrdari scores on average 0.77 and concedes 0.92, Navad scores 0.36 and concedes 1.29; based on this I estimate 1.03 xG for the home side and 0.64 for the away side, total 1.67. Season metrics corroborate a low total: Over 2.5 occurred in only 15% of Shahrdari’s matches and 21% of Navad’s, while Over 1.5 is 54% and 50% respectively; the league averages 1.51 goals per match. Applying a Poisson distribution with λ=1.67 yields P(Over 1.5)≈50%, P(Over 2.5)≈24% and P(Over 3.5)≈9%, implying ~76% probability for Under 2.5. Additionally, Navad have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 avg) and scored only 1 goal (0.2 avg), indicating weak offensive output and increasing the likelihood of a low total; for these reasons the strongest signal is Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X), because the home team had a draw at the break in 46% of matches and draw results in 62% of their games overall (46% vs 62%). At half-time the hosts average 0.46 goals while the visitors only 0.08, indicating the away side’s poor first-half efficiency (0.46 vs 0.08). Over the full match the hosts score on average 0.77 goals versus 0.36 for the visitors, and the visitors concede on average 1.29 goals, which favors low-scoring and draw outcomes (0.77, 0.36, 1.29). After the break the hosts perform better in terms of points — averaging 1.23 points versus 0.92 for the visitors — so an alternative signal is a draw at half-time followed by a home turnaround to win (X/1), but the strongest and most consistent signal from the data points to X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shahrdari Noshahr | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | -3% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.34 | 0.66 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Navad Urmia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Shahrdari Noshahr · 0.8 pts / game - Navad Urmia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shahrdari Noshahr is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.86 goals / game - Shahrdari Noshahr · 1.11 goals / game - Navad Urmia
Shahrdari Noshahr scores in 43% of games (12 of 28 meczów), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
Navad Urmia scores in 48% of games (13 of 27 meczów), while Shahrdari Noshahr keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shahrdari Noshahr
Over / Under - Navad Urmia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navad Urmia is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - Shahrdari Noshahr · 0.96 pts / game - Navad Urmia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shahrdari Noshahr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shahrdari Noshahr
Navad Urmia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Shahrdari Noshahr | Liga | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.39 | 1.51 | ▲ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 29% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 36% | 46% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Shahrdari Noshahr's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Navad Urmia. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia?
The Azadegan League match finished Shahrdari Noshahr 0:0 Navad Urmia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia?
Shahrdari Noshahr score 0.54 goals per game on average and Navad Urmia 0.56. The Azadegan League average is 1.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Shahrdari Noshahr's matches and 33% of Navad Urmia's.
What form are Shahrdari Noshahr and Navad Urmia in?
Over the last 5 games Shahrdari Noshahr have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Navad Urmia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Navad Urmia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.