Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon-Brovar: match statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon-Brovar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shakhtar Donetsk played against Obolon-Brovar in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on May 13, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Shakhtar Donetsk has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Obolon-Brovar has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Shakhtar Donetsk scores 2.41 goals per game and allows 0.63. Obolon-Brovar scores 0.93 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of Shakhtar Donetsk's games and 48% of Obolon-Brovar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 56%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Shakhtar Donetsk has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.12 per game. Shakhtar Donetsk takes 16.4 shots per game, while Obolon-Brovar takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Shakhtar Donetsk leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.52 goals per game after halftime. Obolon-Brovar leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shakhtar Donetsk's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). For Obolon-Brovar, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favorites: at home they average 2.62 goals per game with an xG of 2.16, while Obolon score only 0.92 goals away with an xG of 0.98. The hosts create significantly more chances (on average 16.54 shots and 6.69 on target at home) versus 8.58 shots and 2.67 on target for the visitors, and a conversion rate of 16% versus 9% demonstrates Shakhtar's higher efficiency. Defensively the gap is equally pronounced: Shakhtar concede only 0.62 goals at home and have 69% clean sheets, whereas Obolon concede 1.54 goals away and have 23% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches trends, the hosts average 1.8 points and have scored 11 goals, while Obolon average 0.6 points per match, 5 goals and 0 wins in their last five outings. Considering Shakhtar's 65% possession versus Obolon's 42%, the xG advantage (2.16 vs 0.98) and an 85% historical home win rate, I predict a home win; probabilities estimated at 80% for 1, 12% for draw and 8% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong signal for BTTS: season BTTS rates are 50% (Shakhtar) and 46% (Obolon-Brovar), and in the last 5 matches both sides show 80% BTTS. In the last 5 fixtures Shakhtar scores an average of 2.2 goals with xG 1.87 and concedes 1.4, while Obolon scores 1.0 with xG 1.34 and concedes 1.8, indicating both teams create and concede chances. Season-long both teams are rather ‘leaky’: Shakhtar concedes 1.79 goals per game and Obolon 1.54, clean sheets occur only in 29% and 23% of cases, so a shutout for either side is unlikely. Additionally, average xG against (1.37 vs 1.49) and average shots on target (3.79 vs 2.67) confirm there will be goal-mouth action for both sides; therefore I back BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts a total expected goals of 2.87 (Shakhtar 1.62, Obolon 1.25). The basis is xG and form: Shakhtar has season xG 1.22 and recent xG 1.87, Obolon has season xG 0.98 and recent 1.34, while Obolon concedes 1.49 xG per game on the season. Shooting and goal metrics reinforce the signal for Over 1.5 — Shakhtar averages 10.29 shots (3.79 on target) and scored 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches, Obolon has 8.58 shots (2.67 on target) and 1.0 goal in the last 5. I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (~65%): Shakhtar had 100% of matches over 2.5 in the last 5, Obolon 40%, and season Over2.5 rates are 43% (home) and 69% (away). Over 3.5 is less likely (under 3.5 ~70%) given season values 43%/15% and average goals conceded in the last 5: home 1.4, away 1.8.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the home side have won 3 of 5 (60% wins), while the visitors have not recorded a win (0%), indicating a clear advantage for Shakhtar over the full 90 minutes. At half-time the home team average 0.8 goals in the last 5 fixtures versus 0.2 for the visitors and led at the break in 40% of those games (2 of 5) vs 20% (1 of 5) for the opponents, therefore the HT/FT market favors the home side leading at the break. Additionally, the home xG is 1.22 compared to 0.98 for the visitors, and the average shots on target are 3.79 vs 2.67, which confirms greater attacking strength and chances of maintaining the lead after the interval. The risk of draws is nonetheless significant — the home team have as many as 57% draws at their stadium this season, hence substantial weight for X/1 and X/X scenarios in the distribution; comebacks by the visitors look unlikely (2/1 only 1%). Based on this, my strongest signal is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning full-time) with a probability of 40%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Shakhtar Donetsk · 0.6 pts / game - Obolon-Brovar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 159% better for: goals scored per game.
2.41 goals / game - Shakhtar Donetsk · 0.93 goals / game - Obolon-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk is 165% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.63 goals / game - Shakhtar Donetsk · 1.67 goals / game - Obolon-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk scores in 93% of games (25 of 27 meczów), while Obolon-Brovar keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
Obolon-Brovar scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while Shakhtar Donetsk keeps a clean sheet in 63% (17 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shakhtar Donetsk
Over / Under - Obolon-Brovar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / game - Shakhtar Donetsk · 1.07 pts / game - Obolon-Brovar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shakhtar Donetsk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 74%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Obolon-Brovar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon-Brovar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Liga | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.04 | 2.60 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 43% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 33% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Obolon-Brovar. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon-Brovar?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Shakhtar Donetsk 3:1 Obolon-Brovar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon-Brovar?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.41 goals per game on average and Obolon-Brovar 0.93. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Shakhtar Donetsk's matches and 48% of Obolon-Brovar's.
What form are Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon-Brovar in?
Over the last 5 games Shakhtar Donetsk have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Obolon-Brovar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon-Brovar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.