Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw scenario. Shams Azar Qazvin displays an exceptionally high draw rate at home (63% draws in home matches) and has recorded four draws in their last five meetings. The hosts have not won a single home match this season, significantly reducing their chances of victory. Esteghlal Khuzestan has poor away form (57% losses, only 14% wins), but their goal difference (-7 on the road) is better than it might appear. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable playing quality, and their recent forms (0.8 PPG each) are identical. Given the hosts' tendency to draw and the inability of both teams to secure wins, a draw is the most probable result of this match.
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shams Azar Qazvin play Esteghlal Khuzestan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Shams Azar Qazvin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Esteghlal Khuzestan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shams Azar Qazvin scores 0.65 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Esteghlal Khuzestan scores 0.73 and concedes 1.05. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shams Azar Qazvin 30%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 36%. Over 2.5: Shams Azar Qazvin 13%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 23%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Shams Azar Qazvin has higher xG: 0.97 vs 0.86. Shams Azar Qazvin: 3.3 shots per match, Esteghlal Khuzestan: 2.5.
Match halves
Shams Azar Qazvin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.52. Esteghlal Khuzestan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Shams Azar Qazvin: 46-60 (4 goals). Esteghlal Khuzestan: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter favoring a draw scenario. Shams Azar Qazvin displays an exceptionally high draw rate at home (63% draws in home matches) and has recorded four draws in their last five meetings. The hosts have not won a single home match this season, significantly reducing their chances of victory. Esteghlal Khuzestan has poor away form (57% losses, only 14% wins), but their goal difference (-7 on the road) is better than it might appear. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable playing quality, and their recent forms (0.8 PPG each) are identical. Given the hosts' tendency to draw and the inability of both teams to secure wins, a draw is the most probable result of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 1.07 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 1.4 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 0.73 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Shams Azar Qazvin is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 1.05 goals / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Shams Azar Qazvin scores in 43% of matches (10 of 23 matches), while Esteghlal Khuzestan keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Esteghlal Khuzestan scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Shams Azar Qazvin keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Shams Azar Qazvin
Over / Under — Esteghlal Khuzestan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal Khuzestan is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin · 1.14 pts / match - Esteghlal Khuzestan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shams Azar Qazvin - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esteghlal Khuzestan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal Khuzestan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Liga | Esteghlal Khuzestan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.48 | 1.79 | • 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 28% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 54% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shams Azar Qazvin 0 - 1 - 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Shams Azar Qazvin 0:0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.65 goals per game on average and Esteghlal Khuzestan 0.73. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Shams Azar Qazvin's matches and 36% of Esteghlal Khuzestan's.
What form are Shams Azar Qazvin and Esteghlal Khuzestan in?
Over the last 5 games Shams Azar Qazvin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
The statistical background for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.