Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County: match statistics

Sheffield Wednesday sit 1st, while Stockport County are eighth; the hosts have won 4 of their 6 matches this season, whereas the visitors have already suffered 3 defeats. Wednesday are particularly dangerous when creating chances at home, averaging 18 shots and 6.67 shots on target per match, with an xG of 2.00—clearly higher than Stockport’s 1.36 away from home. Both teams average 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in their respective conditions, but the hosts have the better recent record, collecting 10 points from their last five matches compared with the visitors’ 6. Stockport remain efficient, converting 19% of their shots, but a run of three defeats in their last five outings and 9 goals conceded during that period increases the hosts’ chances. The match should be open, but Wednesday’s advantage in possession—63% compared with 56%—and the quality of their chances created point towards a home win.

Sheffield Wednesday have recorded BTTS in 100% of their home matches so far and have not kept a single clean sheet, which significantly increases the likelihood of Stockport scoring. The hosts are also highly dangerous in attack: they average 3.0 goals at home, create 2.37 xG, and register 7.0 shots on target per match. Stockport have averaged 2.6 goals in their last five games with 2.02 xG, although their season-long away BTTS rate stands at just 33%. The recent form of both teams supports goals at both ends, as their BTTS rate over the last five matches is 60% for each side, while Stockport conceded an average of 1.8 goals during this period. Although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their away matches, Wednesday's attacking potential and their regular defensive lapses make the BTTS scenario more likely.

Sheffield Wednesday average 3.00 total goals in their home matches, and all of the team’s matches so far have gone over 1.5 goals. Stockport also have a 100% record of matches with at least two goals away from home, averaging 2.33 goals per game. The hosts create a high volume of chances, averaging 21.0 shots and 7.0 shots on target, while their average xG is a high 2.37 compared with Stockport’s 1.13 xG conceded away from home. The teams’ last five appearances also support a high-scoring scenario: Sheffield Wednesday have scored an average of 2.2 goals and Stockport 2.6, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 80% of those matches, respectively. Over 1.5 remains the strongest option, as the data for both sides clearly indicates a very high probability of at least two goals.

Sheffield Wednesday have won 60% of their last five matches and have also been leading at the break in 60% of those games, while Stockport have lost 60% of their recent fixtures. The hosts are creating significantly more chances: their average xG stands at 2.37 compared with Stockport’s 1.36, while they average 7.00 shots on target to the visitors’ 4.67. In recent first halves, Sheffield have averaged 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, whereas their opponents have conceded an average of 1.0 goal before the break. Stockport do have a positive signal across the short season as a whole, having led at half-time in 67% of their matches, but current form, home advantage and the hosts’ greater attacking potential provide stronger support for Sheffield to lead at half-time and secure a full-time victory.