Sheger Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Sheger Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.11. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Sheger Ketema sit 10th with a season record of 6 wins, 12 draws and 5 losses, scoring 21 and conceding 20, while Arba Minch Kenema are 20th with 3 wins, 10 draws, 11 losses and a 16–29 goal record. At home Sheger average 0.75 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match, keep 50% clean sheets and as many as 67% of home games end in a draw; visitors away average 0.83 scored and 0.92 conceded, 42% clean sheets and a negative goal difference of -1. In terms of chance quality xG is 1.13 for the hosts versus 1.20 for Arba, but xG against is 1.01 (Sheger) vs 1.28 (Arba), suggesting better defensive organization from the hosts. Additionally, over the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.8 points per game versus 1.4 for the visitors, so with low scoring rates (0.75 and 0.83) a split of points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Sheger Ketema is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.