Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sheger Ketema play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 17:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.11. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.

Match halves

Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
Sheger KetemaBahardar
9Shots3
Sheger KetemaBahardar
6Shots on target1
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.58xG0.96
Sheger KetemaBahardar
4Corners6
Sheger KetemaBahardar
81Dangerous attacks94
Sheger KetemaBahardar
12Fouls10
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0Cards0
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.92Goals scored / match0.74
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.81Goals conceded / match0.74
Sheger KetemaBahardar
46%Average possession51%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
2.22Shots on target / match2.84
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.27Shots per match8.26
Sheger KetemaBahardar
2.22Shots on target2.84
Sheger KetemaBahardar
12.6%Shot conversion8.9%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
46%Possession51%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.11xG for1.26
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.11xG against1.2
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Shooting quality

Sheger Ketema: Counter-attackingBahardar: Balanced
Sheger KetemaBahardar
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sheger Ketema is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema
WDLWW
Season result split
30% W46% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-17-9
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-11-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Bahardar
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W55% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-21-8
1.26 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-11-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sheger Ketema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar

Bahardar is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).

Bahardar scoring profile: more difficult

Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).

34Goals scored (season)28
Sheger KetemaBahardar
30Goals conceded (season)28
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.73Average goals in match1.47
Sheger KetemaBahardar
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Sheger KetemaBahardar
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
Sheger KetemaBahardar

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal47%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
19%2 goals24%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
5%3 goals3%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

How often they concede at least...

51%1 goal47%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
24%2 goals21%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
5%3 goals5%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time11%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
3%Scored in both halves8%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%BTTS - last 520%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time39%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time47%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sheger Ketema is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1 pts / match - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema - half-time state
16% leading70% draw14% trailing
Bahardar - half-time state
11% leading68% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.21
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.65Average goals (1st half)0.61
Sheger KetemaBahardar
73%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
70%No goal before half-time79%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.51Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.08Average goals (2nd half)0.87
Sheger KetemaBahardar
65%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
59%No goal after half-time66%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Sheger Ketema - second-half results

30% W49% R22% P
44
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding188%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahardar - second-half results

26% W61% R13% P
38
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding218%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sheger Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sheger Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
6
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
6
7
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
6
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sheger Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Sheger KetemaLigaBahardar
Average goals in match 1.731.78 1.47
Both teams scored 41%40% 32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 22%28% 18%
Clean sheets 49%40% 53%
Goal before half-time 43%56% 39%
Goal after half-time 62%59% 47%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 3:1 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.

What form are Sheger Ketema and Bahardar in?

Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.