Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sheger Ketema played against Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 6, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Sheger Ketema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bahardar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.86. Bahardar scores 1.00 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Sheger Ketema's games and 38% of Bahardar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 25%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahardar has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.16 per game. Sheger Ketema takes 8.9 shots per game, while Bahardar takes 8.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Bahardar leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sheger Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Bahardar, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
Sheger KetemaBahardar
9Shots3
Sheger KetemaBahardar
6Shots on target1
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.58xG0.96
Sheger KetemaBahardar
4Corners6
Sheger KetemaBahardar
81Dangerous attacks94
Sheger KetemaBahardar
12Fouls10
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0Cards0
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.86Goals scored / game1
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.86Goals allowed / game0.75
Sheger KetemaBahardar
44%Average possession51%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
2Shots on target / game3
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.86Shots per game8
Sheger KetemaBahardar
2Shots on target3
Sheger KetemaBahardar
9.7%Shot conversion12.5%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
44%Possession51%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.16xG for1.24
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.27xG against1.16
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Shooting quality

Sheger Ketema: BalancedBahardar: Balanced
Sheger KetemaBahardar
Accuracy (shots on target)23%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sheger Ketema is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.4 pts / game - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema
WDWLD
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Bahardar
DLWLW
Season result split
38% W38% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahardar is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

0.86 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 1 goals / game - Bahardar

Bahardar is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.86 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.75 goals / game - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Sheger Ketema scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).

Bahardar scoring profile: mixed

Bahardar scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)8
Sheger KetemaBahardar
6Goals conceded (season)6
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.71Average goals per game1.75
Sheger KetemaBahardar
6Goals scored (last 5)4
Sheger KetemaBahardar
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Sheger KetemaBahardar

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal63%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
14%2 goals25%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%3 goals13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal50%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
29%2 goals13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%3 goals13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%Scored in both halves13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
60%BTTS - last 520%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahardar is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.13 pts / game - Bahardar

Sheger Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Bahardar - half-time state
13% leading75% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.13
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.57Average goals (1st half)0.63
Sheger KetemaBahardar
71%Clean sheet before half-time88%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
71%No goal before half-time75%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.63
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Sheger KetemaBahardar
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Sheger KetemaBahardar
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.13
Sheger KetemaBahardar
57%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Sheger KetemaBahardar
57%No goal after half-time50%
Sheger KetemaBahardar

Sheger Ketema - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bahardar - second-half results

38% W50% R13% P
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sheger Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bahardar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sheger Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.73
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sheger Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Sheger KetemaLigaBahardar
Average goals per game 1.711.75 1.75
Both teams scored 43%40% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%27% 25%
Clean sheets 43%39% 50%
Goal before half-time 29%55% 25%
Goal after half-time 71%59% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.88
Home goals / game
0.87
Away goals / game
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 3:1 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

Sheger Ketema score 0.86 goals per game on average and Bahardar 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 38% of Bahardar's.

What form are Sheger Ketema and Bahardar in?

Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bahardar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.