Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a leaning towards a draw. Sheger Ketema sits lower in the table (15th place) but is playing at home, where they have drawn 40% of their matches this season and maintain a zero goal difference. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game) but has not won a single away match this season, drawing a staggering 67% of away games. Both teams have identical shot efficiency (17%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. The weak form of the hosts in the last 5 matches (0.8 points per game) and the lack of away victories for the guests argue for a draw as the most probable result of this meeting.
Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sheger Ketema played against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sheger Ketema has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Sheger Ketema scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.27. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.25 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Sheger Ketema's games and 75% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 42%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 1.15 per game. Sheger Ketema takes 7.8 shots per game, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sheger Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Ethiopia Nigd Bank, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a leaning towards a draw. Sheger Ketema sits lower in the table (15th place) but is playing at home, where they have drawn 40% of their matches this season and maintain a zero goal difference. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game) but has not won a single away match this season, drawing a staggering 67% of away games. Both teams have identical shot efficiency (17%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. The weak form of the hosts in the last 5 matches (0.8 points per game) and the lack of away victories for the guests argue for a draw as the most probable result of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.4 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.25 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.17 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Sheger Ketema scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.08 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sheger Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.27 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 28% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Sheger Ketema score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 75% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.