Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most likely outcome. Sheger Ketema exhibits solid home form with 67% draws and only 22% losses at home, and they have not lost a single game in their last five overall (4 draws, 1 win). Mebrat Hayl struggles away from home with only 11% wins and as many as 67% of matches without scoring a goal, although they maintain good possession (55%). Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – the hosts score an average of 0.78 goals per match at home, while the visitors average only 0.33 away. Considering Sheger Ketema's defensive stability in recent matches (only 1 goal conceded in 5 games) and Mebrat Hayl's offensive woes on the road, I expect a balanced, low-scoring match ending in a share of the points.
Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sheger Ketema played against Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Sheger Ketema has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mebrat Hayl has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Sheger Ketema scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 0.89. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.58 and allows 0.53. Games in this league average 1.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Sheger Ketema's games and 21% of Mebrat Hayl's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 16%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sheger Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 1.08 per game. Sheger Ketema takes 7.4 shots per game, while Mebrat Hayl takes 6.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 5% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sheger Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Mebrat Hayl, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.73 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most likely outcome. Sheger Ketema exhibits solid home form with 67% draws and only 22% losses at home, and they have not lost a single game in their last five overall (4 draws, 1 win). Mebrat Hayl struggles away from home with only 11% wins and as many as 67% of matches without scoring a goal, although they maintain good possession (55%). Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – the hosts score an average of 0.78 goals per match at home, while the visitors average only 0.33 away. Considering Sheger Ketema's defensive stability in recent matches (only 1 goal conceded in 5 games) and Mebrat Hayl's offensive woes on the road, I expect a balanced, low-scoring match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sheger Ketema is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.58 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.53 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Sheger Ketema scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 games), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 games).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 42% of games (8 of 19 games), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.95 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sheger Ketema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.67 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sheger Ketema's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mebrat Hayl. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 0:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Sheger Ketema score 0.78 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.58. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 21% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.