Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Shire Endaselassie holds a clear advantage as the host of this encounter. Arba Minch Kenema has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), recording only draws and losses, making them the weakest team in the league in 20th position. The hosts, despite average form (25% Win% at home), have a better goal difference in home matches (-1 vs -5 for the visitors) and higher scoring efficiency (0.63 vs 0.5 goals per match). Arba Minch Kenema has not scored a single goal in their last five matches, which, combined with a 50% FTS% (Failed to Score) on the road, indicates serious offensive problems. Considering xG statistics (0.92 vs 1.11 for the visitors), the visitors theoretically create slightly better chances, but their inefficiency (8% Shot Conversion Rate) and lack of away wins favor a home victory. A draw remains a realistic option due to Arba Minch's high tendency to draw (63% Draw%) and the poor form of both teams in the last five matches (0.6 PPG).
Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shire Endaselassie played against Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Shire Endaselassie has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Arba Minch Kenema has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.87. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.33 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Shire Endaselassie's games and 33% of Arba Minch Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 13%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arba Minch Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.02 to 0.99 per game. Shire Endaselassie takes 5.9 shots per game, while Arba Minch Kenema takes 5.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Shire Endaselassie leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shire Endaselassie's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Arba Minch Kenema, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shire Endaselassie holds a clear advantage as the host of this encounter. Arba Minch Kenema has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), recording only draws and losses, making them the weakest team in the league in 20th position. The hosts, despite average form (25% Win% at home), have a better goal difference in home matches (-1 vs -5 for the visitors) and higher scoring efficiency (0.63 vs 0.5 goals per match). Arba Minch Kenema has not scored a single goal in their last five matches, which, combined with a 50% FTS% (Failed to Score) on the road, indicates serious offensive problems. Considering xG statistics (0.92 vs 1.11 for the visitors), the visitors theoretically create slightly better chances, but their inefficiency (8% Shot Conversion Rate) and lack of away wins favor a home victory. A draw remains a realistic option due to Arba Minch's high tendency to draw (63% Draw%) and the poor form of both teams in the last five matches (0.6 PPG).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shire Endaselassie is 142% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie · 0.33 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Shire Endaselassie is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.87 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie · 1.07 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Shire Endaselassie scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 33% of games (5 of 15 meczów), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie · 1 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shire Endaselassie
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.67 | 1.77 | ▼ 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 1:0 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.80 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.33. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 33% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The statistical background for Shire Endaselassie vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.