Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with a high probability of a draw. Shire Endaselassie sits 12th in the table and shows poor recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), though they can rely on defensive stability at home (55% clean sheets). Fasil Ketema, despite a higher position (5th place), is experiencing a slump in form with 4 losses in the last 5 matches and just 0.2 points per match. The guests are characterized by a high percentage of away draws (55%), which, given the poor current disposition of both teams and identical goal differences (+1), argues for a share of the points. Low xG figures for both squads (0.97 vs 1.2) and a high percentage of matches without goals scored suggest a cautious, tight encounter ending in a draw.
Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shire Endaselassie played against Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 9, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Shire Endaselassie has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 0.73. Fasil Ketema scores 0.73 and allows 0.64. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Shire Endaselassie's games and 27% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 14%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.00 per game. Shire Endaselassie takes 6.2 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 7.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Shire Endaselassie leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shire Endaselassie's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with a high probability of a draw. Shire Endaselassie sits 12th in the table and shows poor recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), though they can rely on defensive stability at home (55% clean sheets). Fasil Ketema, despite a higher position (5th place), is experiencing a slump in form with 4 losses in the last 5 matches and just 0.2 points per match. The guests are characterized by a high percentage of away draws (55%), which, given the poor current disposition of both teams and identical goal differences (+1), argues for a share of the points. Low xG figures for both squads (0.97 vs 1.2) and a high percentage of matches without goals scored suggest a cautious, tight encounter ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shire Endaselassie is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie · 0.2 pts / game - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fasil Ketema is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie · 0.73 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie · 0.64 goals / game - Fasil Ketema
Shire Endaselassie scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 meczów).
Fasil Ketema scores in 59% of games (13 of 22 meczów), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shire Endaselassie
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.41 | 1.76 | ▼ 1.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Shire Endaselassie's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fasil Ketema. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 1:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.68 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 27% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Ketema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.