Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics

Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shire Endaselassie play Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 5 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shire Endaselassie scores 0.65 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shire Endaselassie 27%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Shire Endaselassie 19%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.95. Shire Endaselassie: 5.3 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.0.

Match halves

Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.27. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Shire Endaselassie: 0-15 (5 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Mebrat Hayl is the favorite in this matchup: they sit 6th in the table versus Shire Endaselassie’s 19th place and have 10 wins this season compared to the hosts’ 6. The visitors create more chances — averaging 7.64 shots per match and 2.21 on target versus the hosts’ 5.5 and 2.14 — and have a higher xG: 1.21 versus 0.95, about 0.26 xG more per game. In the last 5 matches Mebrat recorded 1 win and averages 1.0 point per match, while Shire has no wins and averages 0.6 points; both teams have scored few goals in the last 5 (3 vs 2) and have a 50% probability of failing to score. Defensively the differences are marginal — average goals conceded are 0.71 for Shire at home versus 0.79 for Mebrat away — but the visitors’ advantage in possession (54% vs 46%) and chance creation leans toward a narrow away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

31Possession (%)69
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
2Shots7
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
2Shots on target2
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.65xG1.49
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0Corners7
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
51Dangerous attacks124
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
8Fouls8
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0Cards0
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.65Goals scored / match0.84
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.86Goals conceded / match0.68
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
45%Average possession53%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
2.14Shots on target / match2.21
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.27Shots per match7
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
2.14Shots on target2.21
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
12.3%Shot conversion12%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
45%Possession53%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.95xG for1.12
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
1.24xG against1.16
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Shooting quality

Shire Endaselassie: Counter-attackingMebrat Hayl: Balanced
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
Accuracy (shots on target)41%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mebrat Hayl is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Shire Endaselassie
DDLWL
Season result split
24% W38% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-14-14
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Mebrat Hayl
LDWDW
Season result split
34% W39% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-15-10
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

0.65 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Shire Endaselassie scoring profile: more difficult

Shire Endaselassie scores in 46% of matches (17 of 37 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

Mebrat Hayl scoring profile: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).

24Goals scored (season)32
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
32Goals conceded (season)26
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
1.51Average goals in match1.53
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

How often they score at least...

46%1 goal55%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
14%2 goals18%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
5%3 goals8%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals3%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal53%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
19%2 goals16%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
5%3 goals0%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
3%4 goals0%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

27%
Shire Endaselassie - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 37 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time5%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
11%Scored in both halves11%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
20%BTTS - last 560%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

51%Min. 1 goal before half-time39%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

2nd half

51%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shire Endaselassie - half-time state
24% leading54% draw22% trailing
Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
21% leading66% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.29
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.34
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.73Average goals (1st half)0.55
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
70%Clean sheet before half-time82%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
68%No goal before half-time74%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.51Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
0.78Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
62%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl
76%No goal after half-time61%
Shire EndaselassieMebrat Hayl

Shire Endaselassie - second-half results

16% W57% R27% P
47
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

26% W50% R24% P
49
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Shire Endaselassie - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mebrat Hayl - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shire Endaselassie
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
9
4
46-60
5
7
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shire Endaselassie

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Shire EndaselassieLigaMebrat Hayl
Average goals in match 1.511.78 1.53
Both teams scored 27%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 19%28% 26%
Clean sheets 41%40% 47%
Goal before half-time 51%56% 39%
Goal after half-time 51%59% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Shire Endaselassie 0 - 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 1:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl?

Shire Endaselassie score 0.65 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.84. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 37% of Mebrat Hayl's.

What form are Shire Endaselassie and Mebrat Hayl in?

Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl?

The statistical background for Shire Endaselassie vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.