Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency in away matches. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a 50% away win rate, while the hosts are ranked 9th with just 29% home wins. Recent form is particularly crucial: Negele has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, whereas Shire Endaselassie has only 1 victory in that period. The visitors average 1.17 goals scored away against just 0.67 conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference (+3). Negele also holds an advantage in xG (1.22 vs 0.91 for the hosts) and a strong clean sheet percentage (50% vs 57% for the hosts at home). All these factors point to an advantage for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Shire's defensive solidity at home.
Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shire Endaselassie played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 8, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Shire Endaselassie has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 0.69. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.15 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Shire Endaselassie's games and 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 38%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Negele Arsi Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.00 per game. Shire Endaselassie takes 5.8 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Shire Endaselassie leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.31 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shire Endaselassie's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency in away matches. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a 50% away win rate, while the hosts are ranked 9th with just 29% home wins. Recent form is particularly crucial: Negele has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, whereas Shire Endaselassie has only 1 victory in that period. The visitors average 1.17 goals scored away against just 0.67 conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference (+3). Negele also holds an advantage in xG (1.22 vs 0.91 for the hosts) and a strong clean sheet percentage (50% vs 57% for the hosts at home). All these factors point to an advantage for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Shire's defensive solidity at home.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie · 2.4 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - Shire Endaselassie · 1.15 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Shire Endaselassie scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Shire Endaselassie · 1.46 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shire Endaselassie
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.54 | 1.76 | • 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 0:1 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.85 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The statistical background for Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.