Shooting Stars vs Barau: match statistics
Shooting Stars vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shooting Stars played against Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on May 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Shooting Stars has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Barau has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Shooting Stars scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.08. Barau scores 0.86 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Shooting Stars's games and 31% of Barau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 25%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Barau has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.29 per game. Shooting Stars takes 6.8 shots per game, while Barau takes 4.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Shooting Stars leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Barau leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shooting Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Barau, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shooting Stars appear to be the favorites: at home they score an average of 1.78 goals per game and concede only 0.78, with a home win rate of 78%. Barau score just 0.28 goals on the road on average, concede 1.00 and win only 6% of away matches; in 83% of their away games they fail to score. Quality of chances also favors the hosts — Shooting Stars average 11.07 shots and 3.57 on target at home with a conversion rate of 15%, while Barau average 8.62 shots and 1.92 on target with an efficiency of 4%. In terms of expected goals the hosts have xG 1.45 versus 1.02 for the visitors, and xG against is 0.77 versus 1.41, indicating Shooting Stars create more high-value chances while allowing fewer. In the last 5 matches the hosts collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) averaging 2.0 points per game, while Barau accumulated 8 points averaging 1.6; therefore I predict a home win and assign probabilities: home 75%, draw 17%, away 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No because Barau averages only 0.28 goals per match this season and fails to score in 83% of games, while the away side’s seasonal BTTS is just 17%. Shooting Stars score 1.44 goals per home game on average, have an xG of 2.08 and 5.6 shots on target, but they also keep a clean sheet in 44% of home matches and concede only 0.61 goals per game, which limits the visitors’ chance to respond. Season-to-date BTTS occurs 44% of the time for hosts and only 17% for guests, whereas the league average BTTS is 38%, so this matchup is below average for BTTS. In the last 5 matches hosts had BTTS in 60% of games and guests in 40%; however the creation advantage (xG 2.08 vs 1.02 and 5.6 vs 1.92 shots on target) favors only the home side to score, therefore I assess 75% for “No” and 25% for “Yes”.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Shooting Stars have a season goals average of 1.44 (xG 2.08) and 5.6 shots on target per game, while Barau average only 0.28 goals per game (xG 1.02) and 1.92 shots on target, giving the hosts a clear attacking edge. Matching the hosts' attacking xG of 2.08 against the visitors' defense of 1.41 yields 1.75 expected goals for the hosts, and combining the visitors' xG 1.02 with the hosts' defense 1.07 yields 1.05 for the guests; after adjusting for shot conversion rates (8% vs 4%) and historical averages I project 1.62 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.66 for Barau, total 2.28 goals. A Poisson model with mean 2.28 gives roughly a 66% probability for Over 1.5, about 40% for Over 2.5 and around 19% for Over 3.5, and additionally the last 5 matches show goal averages of 1.6 (home) and 1.2 (away), which supports the at-least-2-goal scenario. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 (home Over1.5 seasonal frequency 61% vs 50% for away) and I recommend that market as the safest play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Shooting Stars lead at the break and win) because the home side has a clear numerical advantage: the hosts’ seasonal goals per game are 1.44 versus 0.28 for the visitors, hosts’ xG is 2.08 vs 1.02 for Barau, and the hosts accumulate 2.11 points per match compared to 0.61 for the away team. At half-time Shooting Stars average 0.72 goals vs Barau’s 0.06; the hosts led at the break in 7 matches (39%) while the visitors had 0% halftime leads, which strongly favors a lead at the 45-minute mark. Additionally, the hosts average 5.6 shots on target and 16 shots per game compared to 1.92 and 8.62 for Barau, and the visitors concede 1.0 goals and 1.41 xG against on average, increasing the likelihood of maintaining and extending the lead after the break. Considering Shooting Stars win 61% of matches while Barau win only 6%, the 1/1 scenario is the strongest signal; as an alternative I consider X/1 (draw at half-time and home win later), and I estimate Barau’s overall chances of winning at about 5% due to their poor statistics.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shooting Stars | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.89 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shooting Stars is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Shooting Stars · 1.6 pts / game - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Shooting Stars · 0.86 goals / game - Barau
Barau is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.08 goals / game - Shooting Stars · 0.81 goals / game - Barau
Shooting Stars scores in 61% of games (22 of 36 meczów), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 meczów).
Barau scores in 44% of games (16 of 36 meczów), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
Over / Under - Barau
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Shooting Stars · 1.17 pts / game - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shooting Stars
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Shooting Stars | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.19 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Shooting Stars's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Barau. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Barau?
The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 1:0 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Barau?
Shooting Stars score 1.11 goals per game on average and Barau 0.86. The NPFL average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Shooting Stars's matches and 31% of Barau's.
What form are Shooting Stars and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Barau 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Barau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.