Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 23 July 2026

Shooting Stars vs Barau: match statistics

Shooting Stars crest
Shooting Stars
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Barau crest
Barau

Shooting Stars vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shooting Stars play Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shooting Stars scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shooting Stars 39%, Barau 29%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 34%, Barau 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Barau has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.25. Shooting Stars: 6.8 shots per match, Barau: 4.7.

Match halves

Shooting Stars: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.53. Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Shooting Stars appear to be the favorites: at home they score an average of 1.78 goals per game and concede only 0.78, with a home win rate of 78%. Barau score just 0.28 goals on the road on average, concede 1.00 and win only 6% of away matches; in 83% of their away games they fail to score. Quality of chances also favors the hosts — Shooting Stars average 11.07 shots and 3.57 on target at home with a conversion rate of 15%, while Barau average 8.62 shots and 1.92 on target with an efficiency of 4%. In terms of expected goals the hosts have xG 1.45 versus 1.02 for the visitors, and xG against is 0.77 versus 1.41, indicating Shooting Stars create more high-value chances while allowing fewer. In the last 5 matches the hosts collected 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) averaging 2.0 points per game, while Barau accumulated 8 points averaging 1.6; therefore I predict a home win and assign probabilities: home 75%, draw 17%, away 8%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Shooting StarsBarau
10Shots7
Shooting StarsBarau
4Shots on target3
Shooting StarsBarau
1.17xG0.91
Shooting StarsBarau
6Corners3
Shooting StarsBarau
36Dangerous attacks35
Shooting StarsBarau
-1Fouls-1
Shooting StarsBarau
2Cards2
Shooting StarsBarau

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Shooting StarsBarau
1.08Goals scored / match0.89
Shooting StarsBarau
1.05Goals conceded / match0.79
Shooting StarsBarau
36%Average possession23%
Shooting StarsBarau
1.95Shots on target / match0.97
Shooting StarsBarau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.82Shots per match4.74
Shooting StarsBarau
1.95Shots on target0.97
Shooting StarsBarau
15.8%Shot conversion18.9%
Shooting StarsBarau
36%Possession23%
Shooting StarsBarau
1.25xG for1.3
Shooting StarsBarau
1.18xG against1.31
Shooting StarsBarau

Shooting quality

Shooting Stars: Counter-attackingBarau: Counter-attacking
Shooting StarsBarau
Accuracy (shots on target)29%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.27
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.550.92

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Shooting Stars is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.8 pts / match - Barau

Shooting Stars
DWWWL
Season result split
47% W16% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-6-14
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shooting Stars is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.89 goals / match - Barau

Barau is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.79 goals / match - Barau

Shooting Stars scoring profile: mixed

Shooting Stars scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Barau scoring profile: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

41Goals scored (season)34
Shooting StarsBarau
40Goals conceded (season)30
Shooting StarsBarau
2.13Average goals in match1.68
Shooting StarsBarau
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Shooting StarsBarau
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Shooting StarsBarau

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal45%
Shooting StarsBarau
32%2 goals29%
Shooting StarsBarau
13%3 goals13%
Shooting StarsBarau
3%4 goals3%
Shooting StarsBarau

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal58%
Shooting StarsBarau
24%2 goals21%
Shooting StarsBarau
5%3 goals0%
Shooting StarsBarau
3%4 goals0%
Shooting StarsBarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
Shooting StarsBarau
8%BTTS in both halves3%
Shooting StarsBarau
24%Scored in both halves21%
Shooting StarsBarau

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Shooting StarsBarau
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Shooting StarsBarau
40%BTTS - last 540%
Shooting StarsBarau

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Shooting StarsBarau
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Shooting StarsBarau
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Shooting StarsBarau

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Shooting StarsBarau
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Shooting StarsBarau
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Shooting StarsBarau

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.18 pts / match - Barau

Shooting Stars - half-time state
34% leading34% draw32% trailing
Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.18
Shooting StarsBarau
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Shooting StarsBarau
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Shooting StarsBarau
1.08Average goals (1st half)0.84
Shooting StarsBarau
53%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Shooting StarsBarau
55%No goal before half-time68%
Shooting StarsBarau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Shooting StarsBarau
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Shooting StarsBarau
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Shooting StarsBarau
1.05Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Shooting StarsBarau
53%Clean sheet after half-time74%
Shooting StarsBarau
61%No goal after half-time66%
Shooting StarsBarau

Shooting Stars - second-half results

21% W55% R24% P
52
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shooting Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
181%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Shooting StarsLigaBarau
Average goals in match 2.132.02 1.68
Both teams scored 39%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 26%
Clean sheets 26%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 74%61% 55%
Goal after half-time 63%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 1 - 0 - 0 Barau. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Barau?

The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 1:0 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Barau?

Shooting Stars score 1.08 goals per game on average and Barau 0.89. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Shooting Stars's matches and 29% of Barau's.

What form are Shooting Stars and Barau in?

Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Barau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Barau?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.