Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United: match statistics
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shooting Stars play Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nasarawa United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shooting Stars scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Nasarawa United scores 0.97 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shooting Stars 39%, Nasarawa United 34%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 34%, Nasarawa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.25. Shooting Stars: 6.8 shots per match, Nasarawa United: 8.0.
Match halves
Shooting Stars: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.53. Nasarawa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Shooting Stars are the favorites for this match: at home they have won 76% of games, a positive goal difference of +17 and average 1.71 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per match. In attack the hosts average 11.54 shots per game (3.77 on target), have xG 1.53 and a conversion rate of 14%, while Nasarawa away record 6.22 shots (1.89 on target), xG 0.96 and 7% conversion. Defensively Shooting Stars hold a clear advantage — at home they keep 41% clean sheets and only 12% of matches without scoring, whereas the visitors away manage just 18% clean sheets and as many as 65% of matches without scoring. In the last 5 matches the hosts are 2-1-2 with 5 goals (1.4 pts/match), and Nasarawa 2-0-3 with 7 goals (1.2 pts/match), which indicates greater instability from the away side (averaging 0.47 goals/match). Considering the superiority in shots, higher xG for the hosts and Nasarawa’s offensive weakness away, I tip a Shooting Stars win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shooting Stars | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.2 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.97 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.89 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Nasarawa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Shooting Stars
Over / Under — Nasarawa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.24 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shooting Stars
Nasarawa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Shooting Stars | Liga | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.13 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | • 39% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 37% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 0 - 0 - 1 Nasarawa United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
The NPFL match finished Shooting Stars 3:2 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Shooting Stars score 1.08 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Shooting Stars's matches and 34% of Nasarawa United's.
What form are Shooting Stars and Nasarawa United in?
Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.