England - EFL League TwoMontgomery Waters MeadowData current as of October 16, 2026

Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: match statistics

Shrewsbury Town crest
Shrewsbury Town
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Exeter City crest
Exeter City

Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Shrewsbury Town played against Exeter City in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Montgomery Waters Meadow. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Shrewsbury Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Exeter City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Shrewsbury Town scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.56. Exeter City scores 0.56 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Shrewsbury Town's games and 22% of Exeter City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 11%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Shrewsbury Town has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.26 per game. Shrewsbury Town takes 13.2 shots per game, while Exeter City takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Shrewsbury Town leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Exeter City leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Shrewsbury Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Exeter City, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Shrewsbury Town have a clear home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Exeter City have lost all four of their away games. The hosts average 1.5 goals per game at home, whereas the visitors score just 0.25 goals per game away and have failed to find the net in 75% of those matches. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the average xG: 1.29 for Shrewsbury at home compared with 0.96 for Exeter away, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth 1.82 xG per game. In their last five matches, Shrewsbury have scored 7 goals and won twice, while Exeter have scored 3 and won once. Although both teams concede an average of 1.25 goals under these conditions, Exeter’s poor away scoring record points to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Exeter: away from home, they average just 0.25 goals and have failed to score in 75% of matches. Shrewsbury keep a clean sheet in 80% of their home games, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals, further limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts are better placed to find the net: their average home xG is 1.51, compared with the 1.82 xG Exeter concede away. Although Exeter have averaged 1.46 xG over their last five matches, they have scored just 0.6 goals, and BTTS - Yes has landed in only 20% of those games. The more likely outcome, therefore, is that at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: all of Shrewsbury’s home matches and Exeter’s away matches to date have finished with no more than three goals. In those same matches, Under 2.5 goals landed in 100% and 75% of cases, respectively, pointing to a trend toward low-scoring results. Exeter average just 0.25 goals scored away from home and have failed to score in 75% of matches, while Shrewsbury concede an average of 0.2 goals at home. The hosts create more chances, with an xG of 1.51 compared with their opponents’ 0.96, but average just 0.8 goals scored at home. A forecast of around 2.03 total goals supports the 3.5 line, although the hosts’ respectable xG makes the lower 2.5 line a less secure option.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Shrewsbury were level at half-time in 4 of their 5 home matches, while Exeter were level in 2 of their 4 away games, making a draw at the break the most likely outcome. The visitors failed to score before half-time in any of those 4 away games, while the hosts did not concede in the first half in any of their 5 home matches. Shrewsbury should have the upper hand after the break: Exeter concede an average of 0.75 goals in the second half away from home and lost all 4 of those matches. Shrewsbury’s higher xG of 1.51 compared with their opponents’ 0.96, as well as an average of 5 shots on target versus 2, also support a home win. A draw at half-time followed by a home win is therefore the strongest HT/FT pick, although Shrewsbury’s 3 draws in 5 home matches leave a significant chance of a draw at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

44Possession (%)56
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
13Shots5
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
3Shots on target1
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.43xG0.71
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
7Corners3
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
55Dangerous attacks42
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
19Fouls9
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
4Cards2
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1Goals scored / game0.56
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.56Goals allowed / game0.67
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
42%Average possession45%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
3.67Shots on target / game3.67
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.22Shots per game11.11
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
3.67Shots on target3.67
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
7.6%Shot conversion5%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
42%Possession45%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.41xG for1.26
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.28xG against1.37
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Shooting quality

Shrewsbury Town: BalancedExeter City: Balanced
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
Accuracy (shots on target)28%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Shrewsbury Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Shrewsbury Town · 1 pts / game - Exeter City

Shrewsbury Town
LWDDW
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Exeter City
DLDLW
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shrewsbury Town is 79% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Shrewsbury Town · 0.56 goals / game - Exeter City

Exeter City is 133% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.56 goals / game - Shrewsbury Town · 0.67 goals / game - Exeter City

Shrewsbury Town scoring profile: mixed

Shrewsbury Town scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

Exeter City scoring profile: mixed

Exeter City scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while Shrewsbury Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

9Goals scored (season)5
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
14Goals conceded (season)6
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
2.56Average goals per game1.22
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
7Goals scored (last 5)1
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal44%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
33%2 goals11%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0%3 goals0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0%4 goals0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal56%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
56%2 goals11%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
22%3 goals0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0%4 goals0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
22%Scored in both halves0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS11%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
60%BTTS - last 50%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shrewsbury Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Shrewsbury Town · 1 pts / game - Exeter City

Shrewsbury Town - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Exeter City - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.22
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.22
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.44Average goals (1st half)0.44
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
33%Clean sheet before half-time78%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
44%No goal before half-time89%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.78Points per game (2nd half)1
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
1.11Average goals (2nd half)0.78
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
33%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City
67%No goal after half-time67%
Shrewsbury TownExeter City

Shrewsbury Town - second-half results

11% W44% D44% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Exeter City - second-half results

11% W67% D22% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Shrewsbury Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Exeter City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.00.6
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Shrewsbury Town
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Exeter City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Shrewsbury Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Exeter City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Shrewsbury TownLigaExeter City
Average goals per game• 2.562.49▼ 1.22
Both teams scored▼ 44%52%▼ 22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 44%44%▼ 11%
Clean sheets▼ 22%29%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%66%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%75%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
0.94
Away goals / game
+65%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defensive advantage
+37%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Shrewsbury TownYellow cardThomas Sang
  2. Exeter CityYellow cardJake Billy Doyle-Hayes
  3. Shrewsbury TownYellow cardLuca Hoole
  4. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Arkelle Jude-BoydOff: Luca Hoole
  5. Exeter CitySubstitutionOn: Ethan SutherlandOff: Anthony Scully
  6. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Josh DavisonOff: Isaac Fletcher
  7. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Will GrayOff: Thomas Sang
  8. Shrewsbury TownYellow cardWill Gray
  9. Exeter CityYellow cardTaylor Perry
  10. Exeter CitySubstitutionOn: Sonny CoxOff: Taylor Perry
  11. Exeter CityGoalSonny CoxAssist: George Birch
  12. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Joseph GbodeOff: Kevin Berkoe
  13. Shrewsbury TownYellow cardJay Turner-Cook

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City?

The EFL League Two match finished Shrewsbury Town 0:1 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City?

Shrewsbury Town score 1.00 goals per game on average and Exeter City 0.56. The EFL League Two average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Shrewsbury Town's matches and 22% of Exeter City's.

What form are Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City in?

Over the last 5 games Shrewsbury Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Exeter City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City?

The statistical background for Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.