Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: match statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sichuan Jiuniu played against Shandong Luneng in Chinese Super League (China). The game was played on May 10, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Sichuan Jiuniu has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Shandong Luneng has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.80. Shandong Luneng scores 1.60 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Sichuan Jiuniu's games and 70% of Shandong Luneng's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 70%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Shandong Luneng has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.19 per game. Sichuan Jiuniu takes 11.1 shots per game, while Shandong Luneng takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Sichuan Jiuniu leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Shandong Luneng leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.10 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sichuan Jiuniu's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Shandong Luneng, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Chinese Super League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu score on average 2.0 goals and concede 1.4 at home with an xG of 1.46 and a positive home goal difference (+3), whereas Shandong Luneng score 1.0 and concede 2.25 on the road with a negative away goal difference (-5). The hosts average 14.2 shots per match with 4.2 on target and a 14% conversion rate, while the visitors average 9.75 shots and 3 on target with a 10% conversion, indicating a clear home advantage in both quantity and quality of chances. In the last 5 matches Sichuan have scored 3 goals and average 0.8 points per game, while Shandong have scored 9 goals and average 1.6 points per game but have conceded 8, highlighting defensive instability for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts have a 60% win rate at home and 40% clean sheets, whereas the visitors have a 50% win rate away but also a 50% loss rate, which further shifts the edge to Sichuan. Based on this, I forecast a home win with estimated probabilities: home 60%, draw 20%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (75%) — seasonal and league signals favor both teams scoring. Sichuan posts a seasonal BTTS of 83%, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, indicating frequent goal exchange at home. Shandong has a seasonal BTTS of 50% but a 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.6 conceded in those fixtures, so the visitors are consistently contributing offensively. Average xG is 1.87 for Sichuan and 1.19 for Shandong, with xG conceded 1.08 and 1.33 respectively; additionally shots 17.67 vs 9.75 and shots on target 5.5 vs 3.0 demonstrate genuine scoring opportunities for both sides. Low clean sheet percentages (17% and 25%) and a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 75%) reinforce the BTTS expectation, despite Sichuan scoring only 0.6 goals and registering a 40% BTTS in the last 5 matches — overall the signals favor 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and statistical analysis suggest a combined 2.74 expected goals: I assign the home side 1.60 xG (home xG 1.87 and xG against opponent 1.33, yielding 1.60) and the away side 1.14 xG (away xG 1.19 and xG against home 1.08, yielding 1.14). Season-long stats show Sichuan score 2.0 goals at home on average and have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, while Shandong score 1.0 away and have 75% of such matches; therefore Over 1.5 looks like the strongest signal (I estimate ~88% probability). For the 2.5 line, season Over rates are 67%/75% (home/away) i.e. ~71% on average, but the last 5 matches reduce confidence — Sichuan 3 goals in 5 (avg. 0.6), Shandong 9 goals in 5 (avg. 1.8) — hence Over 2.5 around 60%. Shot metrics confirm the tendency: Sichuan average 17.67 shots and 5.5 on target with 11% conversion, Shandong 9.75 and 3.0 with 10%, which favors 2–3 goals but limits the probability of 4+ goals. As a result I recommend backing Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5), with expected goals 1.60 home / 1.14 away (total 2.74).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Offensive metrics clearly favor the home side: Sichuan has an xG of 1.87 versus Shandong’s 1.19, averaging 17.67 shots (5.5 on target) compared to 9.75 (3.0 on target) and a conversion rate of 11% versus 10%, indicating greater pressure from Sichuan. At half-time the hosts average 0.67 goals and the visitors 0.25, but in their last five matches Sichuan were level at the break in 80% (4 of 5), so a draw at half-time is realistic. In the second half Sichuan consistently improves: they score after the break in 100% of matches and win the second half in 83% of cases, which increases the probability of a Full-Time victory. Seasonally the home side average 2.0 goals scored versus Shandong’s 1.0 and concede 1.0 instead of the visitors’ 2.25, therefore the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of draw at the break and home win (X/1) appears most likely and I assign it approximately a 32% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shandong Luneng is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.6 pts / game - Shandong Luneng
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shandong Luneng is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.6 goals / game - Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.5 goals / game - Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 meczów), while Shandong Luneng keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
Shandong Luneng scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 meczów), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
Over / Under - Shandong Luneng
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1 pts / game - Shandong Luneng
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Shandong Luneng - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Liga | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.10 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Shandong Luneng. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
The Chinese Super League match finished Sichuan Jiuniu 1:2 Shandong Luneng. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shandong Luneng?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 0, Shandong Luneng won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.30 goals per game on average and Shandong Luneng 1.60. The Chinese Super League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sichuan Jiuniu's matches and 70% of Shandong Luneng's.
What form are Sichuan Jiuniu and Shandong Luneng in?
Over the last 5 games Sichuan Jiuniu have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Shandong Luneng 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.