Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics

Sidama Bunna crest
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Hadiya Hosaena crest
Hadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sidama Bunna played against Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on May 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Sidama Bunna has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Hadiya Hosaena has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Sidama Bunna scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 0.61. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.87 and allows 1.03. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 32% of Sidama Bunna's games and 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 26% and 29%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sidama Bunna has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.04 per game. Sidama Bunna takes 7.9 shots per game, while Hadiya Hosaena takes 5.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Sidama Bunna leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.48 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sidama Bunna's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Hadiya Hosaena, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

I predict a home win (1). Sidama Bunna holds a significant home advantage: 1st in the home table, winning 53% of home matches and a +11 home goal difference, scoring 35 goals this season versus Hadiya’s 27. The hosts’ defense is particularly convincing — only 0.40 goals conceded per home match on average and 73% clean sheets at home, while Hadiya concedes 0.73 on the road and posts 47% clean sheets. Offensively Sidama creates more chances: home xG 1.24, 7.53 shots per match and 3 on target, versus Hadiya’s xG 1.00, 5.2 shots and 1.87 on target, translating to a slightly better conversion 15% vs 14%. Last 5 matches show a small form gap (Sidama 1.4 points per game vs Hadiya 1.2), but the defensive edge and superior chance creation favor a home victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

I back BTTS - No with a 60% confidence vs 40%. Sidama has a season home BTTS rate of 69% and xG_for 1.07 (vs Hadiya xG_for 1.00), but in the last 5 home matches the hosts show 0% BTTS and concede only 0.4 goals on average, indicating defensive improvement. Hadiya away have a season BTTS of 33% and keep a clean sheet in 47% of matches, which substantially reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, season goal averages are 1.0 for Sidama and 0.73 for Hadiya, with average goals conceded 1.31 vs 0.73, so the combined match dynamics and current defensive form favor a No Goal outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The xG-based model projects a total of 2.35 expected goals: 1.18 for Sidama (Sidama xG 1.07; Hadiya concedes 1.28 xG on average) and 1.17 for Hadiya (Hadiya xG 1.00; Sidama concedes 1.35 xG). Sidama score 1.0 goal at home on average and have 81% of matches over 1.5 goals, while Hadiya average 0.73 goals and only 40% of such games, which together raises the probability of Over 1.5 to roughly 68% (Under ~32%). Additionally, Sidama have 69% home games with both teams scoring, register 2.38 shots on target per game versus Hadiya’s 1.87, and the season goal record is 35-19 for Sidama vs 27-32 for Hadiya, indicating a home attacking edge and visitor vulnerability. The 2.5 line gives a weaker signal (Over ~42% vs Under ~58%) and 3.5 is unlikely (Over ~21% vs Under ~79%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified bet.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time: the home side have been level at the break in 56% of matches, while the visitors have been level at half-time in 53% of their away games; hosts led at the break in only 6% of matches versus 20% for the visitors. After the break I favor a Hadiya Hosaena victory — the visitors have a 40% win rate this season compared to Sidama’s 19% and average 1.53 points per game versus the home side’s 0.94; additionally the visitors have accumulated 17 points at half-time compared to the hosts’ 12 and average 1.13 points by halftime versus 0.75 for the hosts. The visitors’ defense looks more solid: Hadiya concede an average of 0.73 goals per match compared to Sidama’s 1.31, and the visitors keep a clean sheet in 47% of matches versus 13% for the home team, which increases the chance of a turnaround in the second half. Half-time statistics show the home side score more frequently before the break (scoredAVGHT 0.44 vs 0.33 for the visitors) but also concede more (concededAVGHT 0.75 vs 0.40), so the most sensible scenario is a draw after 45 minutes and a visitors’ victory after 90 minutes (HT/FT: X/2).

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
10Shots4
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
4Shots on target2
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1.22xG0.62
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
5Corners3
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
41Dangerous attacks29
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
13Fouls17
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0Cards0
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1.13Goals scored / game0.87
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.61Goals allowed / game1.03
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
52%Average possession46%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3.13Shots on target / game2.13
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.9Shots per game5.77
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3.13Shots on target2.13
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
14.3%Shot conversion15.1%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
52%Possession46%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1.27xG for1.04
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1.05xG against1.32
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Shooting quality

Sidama Bunna: Efficient finishingHadiya Hosaena: Counter-attacking
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sidama Bunna is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Sidama Bunna · 1.2 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna
WWDLL
Season result split
48% W32% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-6
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 0.69BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Hadiya Hosaena
DDDLW
Season result split
29% W35% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-11
1.23 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sidama Bunna is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Sidama Bunna · 0.87 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.61 goals / game - Sidama Bunna · 1.03 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna scoring profile: strong

Sidama Bunna scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 meczów).

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: mixed

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 55% (17 of 31 meczów).

35Goals scored (season)27
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
19Goals conceded (season)32
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1.74Average goals per game1.9
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3Goals scored (last 5)5
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal71%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
35%2 goals13%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
6%3 goals3%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3%4 goals0%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal71%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
10%2 goals29%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
6%3 goals3%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0%4 goals0%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

41%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time23%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
13%Scored in both halves6%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0%BTTS - last 560%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sidama Bunna is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / game - Sidama Bunna · 0.94 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna - half-time state
29% leading55% draw16% trailing
Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
13% leading55% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per game (1st half)0.94
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.74Average goals (1st half)0.97
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
74%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
61%No goal before half-time65%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per game (2nd half)1.26
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.48
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
1Average goals (2nd half)0.94
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
74%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena
58%No goal after half-time58%
Sidama BunnaHadiya Hosaena

Sidama Bunna - second-half results

32% W52% R16% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

23% W58% R19% P
29
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding223%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sidama Bunna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.40.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.80
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sidama Bunna
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
7
2
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
6
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.82
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sidama Bunna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Sidama BunnaLigaHadiya Hosaena
Average goals per game 1.741.80 1.90
Both teams scored 32%41% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%27% 29%
Clean sheets 55%40% 29%
Goal before half-time 55%54% 65%
Goal after half-time 58%59% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.90
Home goals / game
0.90
Away goals / game
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defensive advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sidama Bunna's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hadiya Hosaena. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sidama Bunna 0:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Sidama Bunna score 1.13 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.87. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Sidama Bunna's matches and 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's.

What form are Sidama Bunna and Hadiya Hosaena in?

Over the last 5 games Sidama Bunna have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?

The statistical background for Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.