Simba vs KMC: match statistics
Simba vs KMC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba play KMC in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 30 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 1.79 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. KMC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 28%, KMC 32%. Over 2.5: Simba 48%, KMC 39%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.21. Simba: 8.7 shots per match, KMC: 6.6.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.79. KMC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Simba: 31-45+ (13 goals). KMC: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Simba is the clear favorite: at home they win 79% of matches, score on average 2.07 goals per game and concede only 0.43, while KMC have no away wins (0%) and average 0.57 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In the last 5 matches Simba has 5 wins (averaging 3 points per game), whereas KMC lost all 5 fixtures, averaging 0 points and conceding 12 goals. Quality of chances also favors the hosts: Simba’s home xG is 1.64, they attempt 10.69 shots per game with 4.46 on target and convert at 19%, while KMC away have xG 1.14, 7.27 shots with 2.82 on target and a 5% conversion rate, and fail to score in 64% of away matches. Defensively Simba is solid — 71% clean sheets at home and a home goal difference of +23, whereas KMC have 0% clean sheets away and a negative goal difference of -22, clearly indicating defensive vulnerability. Based on this, I predict a home win as the most likely outcome, with a low probability of a draw or a KMC victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | KMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 214% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Simba · 0.57 goals / match - KMC
Simba is 361% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.38 goals / match - Simba · 1.75 goals / match - KMC
Simba scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
KMC scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Simba
Over / Under — KMC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 189% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Simba · 0.75 pts / match - KMC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KMC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
KMC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | KMC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 39% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 69% | 39% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs KMC?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 1:0 KMC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs KMC?
Simba score 1.79 goals per game on average and KMC 0.57. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Simba's matches and 32% of KMC's.
What form are Simba and KMC in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and KMC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs KMC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Simba vs KMC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.