Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics
Simba presents impressive home form with a 75% win rate and only 25% losses at their own stadium, averaging 2.25 goals with a 20% conversion rate. The hosts hold a significant advantage in possession (58% vs 45%) and a clearly better xG balance (1.82 vs 0.94), evidencing their offensive dominance. Mtibwa Sugar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins), failing to score in 100% of matches on the road, which is an alarming sign. The difference in quality is obvious—Simba has a +7 goal difference at home, whereas the visitors are -3 on their travels. Given all statistics, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this match.
Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Simba played against Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Simba has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Mtibwa Sugar has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Simba scores 2.20 goals per game and allows 0.60. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Simba's games and 13% of Mtibwa Sugar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 13%, compared with league averages of 25% for BTTS and 25% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Simba has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 0.99 per game. Simba takes 6.2 shots per game, while Mtibwa Sugar takes 3.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Simba leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Simba's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Mtibwa Sugar, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.69 goals. Both teams score in 25% of games, and 25% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Simba presents impressive home form with a 75% win rate and only 25% losses at their own stadium, averaging 2.25 goals with a 20% conversion rate. The hosts hold a significant advantage in possession (58% vs 45%) and a clearly better xG balance (1.82 vs 0.94), evidencing their offensive dominance. Mtibwa Sugar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins), failing to score in 100% of matches on the road, which is an alarming sign. The difference in quality is obvious—Simba has a +7 goal difference at home, whereas the visitors are -3 on their travels. Given all statistics, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.73 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Simba is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Simba · 1.2 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 340% better for: goals scored per game.
2.2 goals / game - Simba · 0.5 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar
Mtibwa Sugar is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Simba · 0.5 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar
Simba scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 meczów).
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 25% of games (2 of 8 meczów), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 193% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.2 pts / game - Simba · 0.75 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Simba
Mtibwa Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 1.69 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 13% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 25% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 52% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SimbaGoalElie Mpanzu KibisawalaAssist: Shomari Salum Kapombe
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 1:1 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Simba score 2.20 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.50. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Simba's matches and 13% of Mtibwa Sugar's.
What form are Simba and Mtibwa Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.