United States - MLSPayPal ParkData current as of October 14, 2026

SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

SJ Earthquakes plays Nashville SC in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: PayPal Park.

Recent form

SJ Earthquakes has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Nashville SC has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

SJ Earthquakes scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 1.43. Nashville SC scores 2.11 and allows 0.79. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of SJ Earthquakes's games and 46% of Nashville SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 61%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

SJ Earthquakes has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.50 per game. SJ Earthquakes takes 13.5 shots per game, while Nashville SC takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

SJ Earthquakes leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Nashville SC leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.18 after halftime.

When the teams score

SJ Earthquakes's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). For Nashville SC, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.25)
(3.80)
(1.98)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.79Goals scored / game2.11
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.43Goals allowed / game0.79
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
49%Average possession54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
5.14Shots on target / game5.14
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.46Shots per game12.96
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
5.14Shots on target5.14
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
13.3%Shot conversion16.3%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
49%Possession54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.52xG for1.5
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.44xG against1.24
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Shooting quality

SJ Earthquakes: Efficient finishingNashville SC: Efficient finishing
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

SJ Earthquakes is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - SJ Earthquakes · 2 pts / game - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W25% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-8
1.64 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Nashville SC
LDWWW
Season result split
68% W21% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-6-3
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nashville SC is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.79 goals / game - SJ Earthquakes · 2.11 goals / game - Nashville SC

Nashville SC is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.43 goals / game - SJ Earthquakes · 0.79 goals / game - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes scoring profile: strong

SJ Earthquakes scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 games), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 games).

Nashville SC scoring profile: very strong

Nashville SC scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).

50Goals scored (season)59
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
40Goals conceded (season)22
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
3.21Average goals per game2.89
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
10Goals scored (last 5)12
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal82%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%2 goals64%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
32%3 goals39%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
7%4 goals21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
32%2 goals25%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
21%3 goals0%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%4 goals0%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%BTTS in both halves11%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
25%Scored in both halves50%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
80%BTTS - last 560%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nashville SC is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - SJ Earthquakes · 1.93 pts / game - Nashville SC

SJ Earthquakes - half-time state
39% leading32% draw29% trailing
Nashville SC - half-time state
50% leading43% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.93
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.93
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.25
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
46%Clean sheet before half-time71%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
39%No goal before half-time39%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.96
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.18
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.64
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%Clean sheet after half-time64%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC
50%No goal after half-time29%
SJ EarthquakesNashville SC

SJ Earthquakes - second-half results

32% W32% D36% L
42
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nashville SC - second-half results

54% W36% D11% L
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

SJ Earthquakes - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Nashville SC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.60
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

SJ Earthquakes
ScoredConceded
12
7
0-15
6
6
16-30
8
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Nashville SC
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
11
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
9
3
46-60
8
6
61-75
16
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

SJ Earthquakes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nashville SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

SJ EarthquakesLigaNashville SC
Average goals per game• 3.213.26▼ 2.89
Both teams scored• 64%64%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%64%▼ 61%
Clean sheets▲ 25%20%▲ 46%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%78%▼ 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%82%• 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do SJ Earthquakes and Nashville SC play?

SJ Earthquakes face Nashville SC on October 18, 2026 in MLS at PayPal Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

SJ Earthquakes score 1.79 goals per game on average and Nashville SC 2.11. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 64% of SJ Earthquakes's matches and 46% of Nashville SC's.

What form are SJ Earthquakes and Nashville SC in?

Over the last 5 games SJ Earthquakes have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Nashville SC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?

The statistical background for SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.